Value betting odds for the Grand National are not hard to find when you consider the influence the Cheltenham Festival has on the markets.
The Aintree Festival, traditionally held in April, is best known for
the Grand National – famous throughout the world and a race that
quickens the pulse of the British Nation.
However there is much more to the Festival than this iconic equine marathon and clues to winner finding in this and other races can be found at the Cheltenham Festival.
For all those who are new to the Grand National and betting scene, Bookmakers.co.uk have recently updated their Grand National Betting guide to provide the long & short of picking this year’s winner
Take the 2m4f grade 1 Aintree Hurdle:
Here are some interesting stats:
1. 7 of the last 10 winners last ran in a hurdle race at the Cheltenham Festival
2. None of those winners won at Cheltenham
3. Those that did not contest a race at Cheltenham were Irish trained
4. Ignore any runners that did not contest a race at this year’s Festival
The 3m1f grade 1 Aintree Bowl Chase:
1. 7 of the last 10 winners last contested a race at the Cheltenham Festival
2. 12 of the last 15 winners last contested a race at the Cheltenham Festival
3. 7 of the winners unsuccessfully contested the Gold Cup
4. Winners also contested the Ryanair Chase, The Queen Mother Champion Chase, the 3m handicap Chase and the RSA Chase
5. Of the last 12 winners only 1 came first in their Cheltenham race
The 2m4f Melling Chase
1. All of the last 10 winners last contested a race at the Cheltenham Festival
2. 14 the last 15 winners last contested a race at the Cheltenham Festival
3. All 14 contested either The Queen Mother Champion Chase or the Ryanair Chase
4. 10 of the last 15 winners finished in the first 3 in either The Queen Mother Champion Chase or The Ryanair Chase
Finally the Grand National itself:
1. 2 of the last 10 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival
2. 3 of the last 15 winners ran in this season’s Cheltenham Festival
3. Only the 2007 winner, Silver Birch achieved a placing at the Cheltenham Festival
4. Of the other 2 Bindaree came 7th in the 3m Handicap Chase and Don’t Push It was pulled up in the Pertemps Handicap Hurdle
The most likely reason is that the gruelling conditions of the Grand National come too soon after the highly competitive races at Cheltenham.
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Above policies updated 15 March 2018