Vincent OBrien National Stakes race favourites and odds
A highly impressive Curragh card on Sunday 12 September has four Group 1 races. One of these is the Vincent O’Brien National Stakes run over seven furlongs and due off at 4.05pm.
This is a race that is for two-year-olds with the winner taking home €177,000.
Thunder Moon, trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien, won this race last year. The 2021 renewal of this race sees the Aidan O’Brien trained Points Lonsdale as the odds-on favourite. Will it go on to justify that position in the market?
Point Lonsdale is 1/2 at present to win the Vincent OBrien National Stakes, informs horse4course-racetips.com. This runner has had four races this year and won all of them.
A successful debut was made on this course winning by five-and-a-half lengths. That was followed by winning the Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot, beating future Group 3 winner Search For The Moon.
A hat-trick of wins was completed with success in a Group 3 race at Leopardstown. The four-timer came with a Group 2 win on this course, comfortably getting another win over Maritime Wings.
No worries about getting the distance as all of his races have been run over seven furlongs.
Point Lonsdale is the current favourite for the 20000 Guineas next April and the 2022 Epsom Derby. According to the Guardian, a fifth straight win looks possible here and those classic odds may well shorten.
Hoping to end the unbeaten run of Point Lonsdale is Native Trail who is the second favourite for next year’s 2000 Guineas. This runner is trained by Charlie Appelby whose stable is in great form at present. He also loves this race having trained two of the last three winners.
Native Trail is also unbeaten but has only had two runs. His debut was in June at Sandown, easily winning in Class 4. That was followed by success in the Group 2 Superlative Stakes over this distance at Newmarket the following month.
A close finish saw Native Trail beat Masekela (winner of a Listed race since) by a short head. There are no concerns over the distance or the ground. You can get odds of 3/1 and a sign up offer on this horse but a straight forecast of the more experienced Point Lonsdale first and Native Trail second looks a winning one in the opinion of some horse betting experts.
Ebro River is out to beat the top two and is trained by Hugo Palmer. This runner has had a busy season, and this is his eighth race since debuting in April.
That wasn’t the best of debuts, finishing sixth of eight runners in Class 4 at Newmarket. Just about everything went wrong, with Ebro River upset in the stalls and not getting a clear run.
It’s gone a lot better since then though. Ebro River won next time out and in May won again in a Listed race at Sandown.
That was despite sweating again and making a slow start. A fifth in the Group 2 Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot followed and then two fourths in more Group 2 races.
This runner got back to winning ways with a victory in the Group 1 Keeneland Phoenix Stakes run over six furlongs on this course. Back up to seven furlongs, this 5/1 shot is likely to again run well but doesn’t look as good as the favourite.