     |
A consistently profitable betting system is a rare thing...... but I believe I have found a betting system which is just that. Updated in March 2007 this is now a standalone win system 'Stop-At-A-Winner'. Selections are posted daily for free in the Command Room. Just become a free subscriber to Horse4course-racetips. Combining the raw power of Racexpert software analysis and a proven system which is described in this article. Stats updated 1st Jan 2007 Since the start of the 2005 season the betting system results for flat, all weather and turf racing are:
Points Profit 101.5
The graph below shows how your money would have grown from £1 to £62 using £1 level stakes 
Obtain these tips free by joining our subscribers list Click here for all our FREE Moneymaking Services 27/02/2006 Plumpton 4.55 Misbehaviour 1st 2-1 SP 06/03/2006 Lingfield 5.00 Garstang 1st 15-8 SP 20/03/06 Southwell 4.50 Vancouver Gold 1st 9-4 SP 26/03/06 Folkestone 4.40 Shaunas Vision 1st 8-13 SP 29/03/06 Wolverhampton 4.0 Ballare 3rd 6-1 SP 29/03/06 Wolverhampton 4.30 Fizzy Lizzy 7th 8-1 SP 03/04/06 Southwell 5.30 Desert Opal 6th 6-1 SP 07/04/06 Lingfield 3.55 Auentraum 8th 3-1 SP 28/04/06 Perth 4.45 Noir Et Vert 1st 11-4 SP 30/04/06 wetherby 5.15 Jodante - Unseated Rider Evens SP 03/05/2006 lingfield 4.00 hearthstead wings 3rd 3.30 03/05/2006 pontefract 3.20 takes tutu 3rd 11-2 05/05/2006 wolverhampton 4.20 magic warrior 3rd 13-8 05/05/2006 fontwell 7.10 kosmos bleu 1st 7-4 09/05/2006 exeter 7.55 abbey days 1st 2-1 11/05/2006 Hamilton 6.15 million percent 2nd 9-4 20/05/2006 Nottingham 1.55 Cashel Mead 1st 7-2 20/05/2006 Worcester 8.15 Parisiene Gale 1st 4-1 29/05/2006 leicester 3.10 Imperialistic 1st 5-6 29/05/2006 sandown 4.35 Moody Tunes 2nd 5-6 30/05/2006 leicester 4.50 Gavarnie Beau 1st 7-2 01/06/2006 Nottingham 3.35 Ripples Maid 5th 5-4 02/06/2006 Wolverhampton 3.45 Warsaw Pact 2nd 2-5 01/06/2006 Nottingham 3.35 Ripples Maid 5th 5-4 03/06/2006 Chepstow 8.40 Don't Tell Sue 1st 5-6 03/06/2006 Southwell 7.20 Liberate 2nd 4-7 03/06/2006 Southwell 7.50 Hillbilly Cat 1st 9-4 06/06/2006 windsor 7.30 Don't Tell Sue 16th 5-2 13/06/2006 chester 8.45 Handsome Cross 2nd 10-3 13/06/2006 chester 9.15 Court Of Appeal 4th 8-1 17/06/2006 bath 3.50 El Alamein 3rd 0.67 22/06/2006 wolverhampton 3.35 Caustic Wit 9th 3-1 23/06/2006 Redcar 4.00 My Gacho 2nd 5-1 07/07/2006 Beverley 8.40 Lucky Lark 3rd 11-8 07/07/2006 Beverley 9.10 Touch Of Ivory 4th 5-4 From here on for the betting system results we have the course - time of race - Horse - decimal price - Finishing position. 13/07/2006 Folkestone 4.40 Alambic 0.44 1st 14/07/2006 lingfield 5.15 Warsaw Pact 1.00 1st 15/07/2006 nottingham 5.05 Curtain Bluff 3.33 5 20/07/2006 hamilton Noble Nova 1.50 3 20/07/2006 hamilton Alambic 0.36 1st 21/07/2006 Carlisle Key Time 0.33 1st 26/07/2006 leicester Voodoo Moon 2.50 3 28/07/2006 Thirsk Aahgowangowan 1.50 1st 08/08/2006 Catterick 5.00 Ballybunion 2.75 6
12/08/2006 Ayr 7.15 Blue Maeve 1.10 1st 12/08/2006 Haydock 4.55 Alambic 1.25 3 13/08/2006 leicester 2.50 Beau Marche 4.50 2 15/08/2006 Brighton Inch By Inch 4.00 8 24/08/2006 Stratford Il Penseroso 0.62 1st 24/08/2006 Musselburgh Motu 3.50 2 04/09/2006 Newcastle Vice Admiral 5.50 1st 04/09/2006 Warwick Alambic 0.57 3 05/09/2006 Catterick Glenbuck 5.00 1st 08/09/2006 Bangor High Dancer 2.25 3 10/09/2006 Stratford Montevideo 3.50 2 15/09/2006 nottingham Littledodayno 1.75 2 18/09/2006 Kempton Namu 6.50 5 Betting System tweaked to raise qualifiers above 13-2 SP 30/09/2006 NO WAY BACK 4 7-1 11/10/2006 RESPLENDENT ALPHA 1st 8-1 15/10/2006 BLACKTOFT 1st 8-1 16/10/2006 BO MCGINTY 6 10-1 26/10/2006 DOWN THE STRETCH 4 100-1 31/10/2006 BLAEBERRY 1st 14-1 07/11/2006 BALLADEER 1st 8-1 22/11/2006 REGAL HEIGHTS 5 14-1 27/11/2006 DESERT HAWK 4 8-1 02/12/2006 SPARK UP 1st 10-1 08/12/2006 SOUND OF CHEERS 2 18-1 12/12/2006 DOCTOR DENNIS 9 12-1 23/12/2006 BAILEYS BEST 8 16-1 26/12/2006 DARK DIVA PU 7-1 31/12/2006 WAYWARD MELODY PU 12-1
Racexpert produces a test for all systems - the results of the tests for this betting system are as follows: System Confidence Test - "Archie" Ever wondered if the system you designed will stand the test of time? Well "Archie" may be able to help. "Archie" is a statistical analysis of your system and is accredited to Steve Tilley (based around Chi-square testing). If you wish to read more about this method of evaluating a system, please visit http://www.0dd5.com/matharchie.shtml. Expected Winners - the number of winners expected based upon the odds of the selections. Average Advantage - the average advantage the system produces over the starting price. Chi-square test - this is not the place to discuss this math function (do a search on the web if that's your penchant) - all you really need to know is BIGGER is BETTER. Luck Probability - the chance that your system winners were obtained by luck (the LOWER the BETTER). 1 chance in X - the Luck Probability expressed in a more meaningful way. Please note that "Archie" will only analyse systems that are showing a profit and where the 'Expected Winners' (see above) is >= 5. The test results for this betting system as analysed by Archie are as follows: Expected Winners 37.48 Actual winners 55 Average advantage 46.75% Chi-square test 11.78 Luck probability 0.0007 1 chance in 1429 that the results were obtained by luck NB This system is continually tweaked to maintain its winning advantage
The Phenomenon of the Four-day Horse - An overview of a simple horse racing and betting system. "Given that many trainers are in fact canny fellows and do know their stuff, it has been determined that if a horse is entered into several races, or at any rate more than one, within a four day period then that horse is in good racing trim and given a fair chance that on the day he will win again. So check each race on any given day for all horses that won last time out that have run in the last four days. Do not deviate and assume five days is okay. Long experience has shown that it is not. Four days or less. If there is more than one horse in this category then check from past racing pages or the Racing Update, which comes out each Wednesday, what sort of company the horse was in last time. Also check the distance he won at and the going. If the going is no worse on the day of the bet than last time, if the company was no less illustrious and the distance is not significantly greater,then punt. How do we find these things out for our horse racing and betting system?
I have found that if one is going to follow a horse racing and betting system then you have to do the barest amount of investigation and study if you are going to succeed with any consistency. If you simply look at a paper and pick a horse you will hit only slightly better than average. No, What you should do is take a paper you trust every day. My own preference is the Mirror, but both the Mail and the Express are reliable. Whatever you do, don't read the wretched papers. a) you don't have time and b) they are mostly rubbish. So carefully remove the racing pages, both yesterdays results and today's details of the meetings, runners and riders. If you don't understand all the letters and figures there will usually be a little legend tucked away somewhere at the bottom of the page that tells you what they mean. These figures are the meat of our horse racing and betting system.
If not go to the nearest bookmakers and tell the first knowledgeable looking cove you come across and ask what these figures mean. If you are using The Mirror, the figures you are interested in are the ones in brackets,for this horse racing and betting system, immediately after the horses name. That is the number of days since he last raced. Then the string of figures on the left of the horse's name. These will be his placings over his last six races. If the one closest to his name is 1 then he won last time out. You should then look at the letter in brackets that is either above or immediately below the title of the race (eg The Fred Bloggs Kingcup Handicap) It will be from A to F in the alaphabet. This will tell you the class of horses racing. A, are the creme de la creme, F are the nags and no hopers. (but even in a race of no hopers someone has to win!) If your chosen horse won in a field of D class racers last time out and this race is an A class race then beware - if it is an F class then you are safer. Just a tip. Keep your racing pages in date order in a file, it makes them so much easier to handle. There is of course in all this the handicapper to take into account. He is a very canny fellow and his job is to seek to add weight to the best horses to improve the chances of the lesser cattle. And he is very good at it. But that is the fun of your chosen hobby, beating the handicapper. There is a school of thought that says that if at all possible, avoid punting on handicaps and stick to sellers plates and maidens stakes. I do not subscribe to this school myself. Of course, the SP will reflect an obvious potential winner but if you are going to succeed in this system you have to be rigorous. If there is a four day horse that won last time out you have to back it at whatever price. If you are actually punting at the bookies and this is much more fun of course, then you can always ask the manager if you can take a price with him and you may get better than the SP, but you may get worse! It is only if there are several four day horses on any one day that you should look for the best chance by reference to the other factors referred to above.
A few words on the actual amount to punt. For any horse racing and betting system you should allocate yourself an amount as your season's stake say 100 pounds sterling. Then you need to decide on a daily stake. I started off with a five pound win bet. Stick to it religiously do not make the classic losers mistake of chasing losses. If you lose, go on to the next day with a rueful smile and the same value bet. Bet on at that rate without variance until you have won your original 100 pounds allocation, then you can increase your stake to 10 pounds and so on. What about the each way bet I hear you cry? Well if you have an uncertain bet, then so long as the odds are greater than 5-1 against, you can safely make an each way bet. If the horse wins then you are quids in, if he losses you will get a fifth of the odds as a pay out and you have saved your stake. You will only succeed at this sytem if you make it a daily exercise. You will soon find your way round the racing pages and it shouldn't take you more than half an hour to get everything weighed up.
So if you have to get up half an hour earlier, well then, what could be finer than your racing pages and a cup of your favourite caffeine taken in the peace and quiet of the early morning so you can settle to the pleasures of working on your horse racing and betting system and the daily battle with the handicapper. He may win many battles with you, but as you become battle hardened you will be the one winning the Wars each season". Nick (The Four Day Horse racing and betting system) An original Horse racing and betting system article
|
