Free Winner Finding Strategy Guide


Daily Lay

Horse playing up before the race

Horse playing up before the race

Daily Lay

Lay Tips for 27 January 2023

Nazymbek 15:25 - Lingfield
Colors Of Freedom 13:45 - Lingfield
First Sight 15:25 - Lingfield
War In Heaven 20:15 - Wolverhampton

Hi Chris, I see you are giving out free lay service tips but can you also explain why you are laying these horses? Many thanks.

Answer: There are as many reasons why a horse may lose its race as there are for why it may win - more in fact.

The starting point in deciding whether to take a horse on is its starting price. The lower the better, because when laying a horse, the higher the odds the more we stand to lose.

So I will always start with the forecast favourite and then apply various criteria which will include some or all of theses factors:

If the horse won last time, has it a history of running up a sequence of wins. If so leave it.

Did the horse come 2nd last time. If so it could be coming in to form so best to leave it.

If the horse came 3rd or 4th last time there is no guarantee the horse is coming in to form but the price is likely to be less than it should be. Consider laying it.

If a horse is odds on don't give up immediately on laying it. Many odds on favourites lose - the main thing is to find a reason for beating it.
If there are only a few runners the race could turn out to be tactical which may not suit the favourite. Check the selections box in Racing Post to see if any tipsters fancy a viable alternative.

Be wary of laying it if a top jockey is up - A P McCoy or Ruby Walsh in jumps racing; Hughes or Hanagan on the flat.

The golden rule is; if in doubt leave it out.





Comments for Daily Lay

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Jan 25, 2023
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Odds strategy
by: Paul

Hi there, being new to this game, I'm still trying to develop my strategy. I'm tentative to lay anything over 3.0, the theory being that based on the general average of 35% winning favourites, if I were to win 2 lays for every loss, I would be in profit. Based on £10 lays, a 2.5 odds loss would lose £15 liability, but 2 £10 stakes would provide a £5 profit regardless. Naturally, any loss under 2.0 would be covered by 1 £10 stake win. This is of course relying on meeting the general average of favourites wins/losses. Do you think this potential strategy has any credibility or do I need a rethink. The obvious drawback to this strategy would be less choice.

Any advice, as always, very much appreciated.

Kind regards

Paul

Jan 23, 2023
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Great lay tips NEW
by: Anonymous

Great lay tips today Chris , I did all 3

Jan 16, 2023
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2Voided 1 success NEW
by: AnonymousEddie

Hi, Races voided because of waterlogging but still you give a successful tip on the one remaining post. thanks.

Dec 16, 2022
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2 lays in 1 race
by: Eddie

Hi Chris, thanks for reply, I am unable to use Betfair but guess if I transfer the amounts showing over to Smarkets or Matchbook or Betdaq they will work out similar to Betfair . maybe not at the 100 yet though !!
thanks for the winners so far or should I say "losers" as they are lays !!

Dec 15, 2022
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Answers to Comments
by: Chris

Sorry I have not replied sooner guys but I have been very busy.

My strategy comments should be viewed mainly as a general guide. If low odds warrant a bet then go for it.

To place lay bets on more than one selection e.g. today we have

Mighty River 18:30 - Chelmsford
Kingsley Pride 18:30 - Chelmsford

Betfair offers a built in calculator - select both horses then click liability button - click liabilty and a max liabilty box pops up - enter 100 and click ok - the stakes required to make a profit are then filled in for you.

Find out more at
Lay Dutching

Dec 13, 2022
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Response
by: Del

As you can see chaps the host has no priority to respond to our posts. Seems pretty pointless saying anything

Dec 12, 2022
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2 lays in same race 13.13 Southwell
by: Eddie

Hi, what is the best way to lay both to have a profit?

Dec 12, 2022
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Winners
by: Eddie

Hi, yes I agree with earlier poster that today's first choice was on a 3 timer but the odds were so low it was worth a risk. Ok it won but I was able to recoup the small outlay I lost on the next winner.
keep up those great selections, thank you.

Dec 11, 2022
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Lingfield 12.42
by: Anonymousdel

I see your going against your own strategy 12 dec lingfield 12.42
Huberts Dream 12:42 – Lingfield. This has has won his last two races, which you advise to avoid if a horse has won previous ra Ed ?

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