Form Ratings Free Strategy Guide
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Of all the races at the Cheltenham Festival the Cheltenham Gold Cup has to be the finest. Three miles two furlongs of precision jumping over the Cheltenham Festival racecourse, at an unrelenting gallop is a test in which only the fittest and most talented chasers have prevailed.
It is a grade 1 race run on the new course at Prestbury Park, Cheltenham and consists of 22 fences over a distance of 3 miles 2 1/2 furlongs. Find out the 7 attributes required to win this most prestigious of races.
The top 4 in the betting for the 2024 renewal:
Galopin Des Champs trainer Willie Mullins 5/4
Fastorslow trainer Martin Brassil 5/1
Gerri Colombe trainer Gordon Elliott 10/1
Bravemansgame Paul Nicholls 16/1
We'll analyse their respective chances in a minute but first let's have a look at some of the history and trends of the race.
First run over fences in 1924 the race has established itself as the pinnacle of National Hunt racing.
The roll call of honour includes legends such as Desert Orchid who won in 1989, Best Mate who won the race three times and Kauto Star who regained the trophy in 2009 having relinquished his crown to Denman the previous year.
However attempting to pinpoint the likeliest winner is a far from simple task; only 7 of the last 11 favourites have won.
The most obvious starting point when analysing the runners in the Cheltenham Gold Cup is to use past trends to highlight the likeliest candidates.
Average Age of Winners – In the last 22 renewals only 3 winners (Long Run in 2011 as a 6yr old, Cool Dawn ’98 and Cool Ground ’93, both 10 yr olds) have not been aged between 7 and 9
Betting – 7 of the last 11 favourites have won while the last 13 winners came from the first 3 in the market. Bobs Worth is a worthy favourite for this year's renewal (2014)
Places – In the last 17 renewals there have been 17 placed horses at prices bigger than 16/1. Two winners, eight 2nds and seven 3rds. The Giant Bolster was 2nd at 50/1 and Mon Mome was 3rd at 50/1
Stayers - only 14 of last 24 winners had previously won over a distance in excess of 3m. There have been no Novice winners since Captain Christy in 1974
Trainers – in the last 15 renewals the Irish have won 2 and had 10 placed.
Class –The last 14 winners of the race were all previous Grade 1 Chase winners and all but one had won that season. 12 of the last 16 Gold Cup winners had finished 1st or 2nd at a previous Festival.
Significant Races - A number of horses have won the King George prior to winning the Gold Cup including Arkle, Desert Orchid, Best Mate, Kicking King, Kauto Star (twice) and Long Run and Silviniaco Conti (winner in 2013) who is entered in this year’s renewal. Other races include the Lexus, The Irish Hennessy and the G2 Aon.
Ratings – 11 of the last 12 winners were rated 166+
Headgear – There have been no winners wearing headgear in the past 11 years
Times – These will depend on the state of the ground; in 2013 the going was soft and the time 7 mins 6 secs. While on good ground in 2011 the current record was achieved in 6 mins 30 secs.
So now for an appraisal of the most likely winners for the 2024 renewal:
Galopin Des Champs trainer Willie Mullins 5/4
Age: 8-year-old (as of March 2024)
Breed: France - Sire:Timos (GER)
Dam:Manon Des Champs (FR)
Dam's Sire:Marchand De Sable (USA) (7.5f)
Breeder:G A E C Des Champs
Reputation: Currently considered the best horse on the planet according to official ratings [2]. Known for being a fantastic staying chaser, winning back-to-back Irish Gold Cups [2].
Fastorslow trainer Martin Brassil 5/1
Fastorslow is an 8-year-old bay gelding currently in racing. Here's what we can glean from publicly available information:
Gerri Colombe trainer Gordon Elliott 10/1
Age: 8-year-old (as of March 2024)
Sire:Saddler Maker (IRE)
Dam:Ruse De Guerre (FR)
Dam's Sire:Cadoudal (FR) (18f)
Breeder:C Boistier & M A Boistie
Trainer Gordon Elliott
Here's a summary of Gordon Elliott, a successful Irish National Hunt racehorse trainer:
Accomplishments
Background
Additional Resources
Bravemansgame trainer Paul Nicholls 16/1
Racing Performance
Additional Resources
In Conlusion:
Key Points:
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