Form Ratings Free Strategy Guide
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My horses to follow 2014 flat season is headed by
Love Tangle (gelding) - Trainer Brian Meehan
By Azamour whose progeny develop well over time
Owned and bred by Ballymacoll Stud noted for only keeping class horses in training
Related to plenty of winners such as the 104 rated Lang Shining
Had
two runs last season finishing mid division in a Newmarket maiden and
followed that by winning a 8f maiden at Nottingham on soft ground
His first run in 2014 was in a 12f hcap at Windsor on good ground, leading until 2f out and finishing 3rd
A drop in trip on easier going should see him put his head in front.
McCarthy Mor (gelding) - Trainer Richard Fahey
By Bushranger and related to 4 sprint winners including the 93 rated Film Maker and 85 rated Jessie's Spirit.
Started
his career with high hopes in a class 3 maiden and was sent off at 7/1
but only achieved 10th place of 15. His two subsequent runs did not show
him in a better light but that might well be due to the soft ground
which his sire did not act on.
The result of these efforts is that he has been assigned a lowly rating of just 59 which may well underestimate his potential when encountering better going or Polytrack
Penhill (colt) - Trainer James Bethell
By Mount Nelson who's progeny prefer good ground
His trainer
believes he has bags of potential as he is a good mover despite being a
big horse of 16.3 hands and has a lovely temperament
He appeared
green on his first outing at Newcastle and the same next time at
Chester. His last race was a hot maiden at York in which he ran well
until fading in the final furlong.
He is likely to strengthen up over the winter and prove that his opening mark of 67 is a lenient one.
Horses to follow list 2014 No 3
Penny Sixpence (filly) - Trainer John Gosden
By Kheleyf (USA) (6.8f) — Zerky (USA) (Kingmambo (USA) (9.9f))
This
filly cost an eye watering 190,000 euros, perhaps explained by the fact
she is the full sister of multiple winner and 112 rated, Penny's Picnic
Could well be suited to a soft surface
Had three runs last season and acquited herself well enough
She is highly rated by her trainer and her lowly rating of just 63 should see her whizz in through the back door
A trip of 7-8f on soft ground or on the all weather is likely to prove ideal.
No 4 Horses to follow list 2014
Prairie Prize (colt) - Trainer David Elsworth
By High Chaparral
Half-brother to 102 rated Cocktail Queen
His trainer holds him in high regard saying to Steve Taplin: "This is a princely horse - he's got a lot of style."
His three runs last year all came at Newmarket and his final run over 7f suggests he will get 8f-10f this term.
His sire's progeny usually improve from 2yo - 3yo so his opening mark of 68 looks fair.
Horses to follow list 2014 No 5
Placidia (filly) - Trainer David Lanigan
By Sea The Stars
Dam was Palmeraie and has produced 8 winning foals including the 120 rated Policy Maker and 116 rated Pushkin.
Most of her offspring have been stayers
Placidia is rated just 75 after four runs over 7f but progressed with racing, staying on over 7f on her last two outings.
This suggests that 12f will be within her compass in time and she is likely to be best suited by fast ground.
Horses to follow list 2014 No 6
Sequester (filly) - Trainer David Lanigan
By Selkirk
Half-sister to eight winners who won thirty races between them including the 112 rated Albert Hall and 94 rated Flighty Fellow.
Being a late foal she did not make her debut until October 2013 and had three runs in quick succession to obtain her handicap mark.
She finished 3rd in a 7f Leicester maiden, catching the eye when staying on well in the closing stages.
Her last run was respectable given that her jockey repeatedly changed direction on the closing stages.
Considering she achieved an RPR of 67 on her first run the opening handicap mark of 65 is potentially lenient.
Horses to follow list 2014 No 7
Sea Defence (colt) - Trainer Roger Charlton
Owned by Khalid Abdulla and looks to be a useful type.
Full brother to the 108 rated mare Jibboom and a half-brother to the 95 rated Self Evident.
He ran twice last year, showing promise on debut and confirming that when winning well over 7f on soft ground at Newmarket, pulling 10l clear with the runner up.
James Doyle, his jockey that day, commented: "He has a good action so better ground should suit him next year.
His opening mark of 82 looks fair when you consider that his full sister was rated 108; 8f-9f should be ideal.
Horses to follow list 2014 No 8
Sir Guy Porteous (colt) - Trainer Mark Johnston
By Shamardal and cost 67,000 gns
Highly tried on first two outings - made his debut at Newmarket in £100,000 Tattersalls Millions Median Auction over 6f.
Shaped quite well amongst a decent field of horses rated from 77 - 93 suggesting his opening mark of 69 is more than fair.
His next race was over 7f in the £500,000 Tattersalls Millions Trophy and possessed sufficient speed to lead the field before weakening in the closing stages.
Dropped to a class 4 maiden he failed to perform but may well have been unsuited to the soft ground at Leicester.
Given time to mature over the winter he could well be winning races over 7f-8f on fast ground.
Horses to follow list 2014 No 9
Serene Grae (filly) - Trainer Marcus Tregoning
Horses to follow list 2014 No 10
Her dam has produced five winners including the 107 rated Barney McGrew and 104 rated Film Script.
Talking to Steve Taplin, her trainer said: "I like this filly, she's nice, sound and scopey. I'm pleased with her; she's
well put together and a 6f-7f type 2yo that hasn't done a thing wrong yet."
She had three runs last year and was only a 1/2l behind subsequent winner and 79 rated Maria Bella.
She should be up to defying her opening mark of 77 and will be suited by 8f-10f with cut in the ground
Horses To Follow 2013
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