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Free Racing Tips Little Beauty for 26 Feb 2024
TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
POSSIBLE AMBITION 4:55 Wolverhampton 12/1 Each Way – A win at Newcastle second to last time out just over two weeks ago. Up in trip here and will go well for new yard.
BEDFORD FLYER 2:45 Southwell 28/1 Each Way – Ten go to post here and it's the mount of Hollie Doyle that catches the Underdog Racing tipsters eye. C&D win to his name and two seconds on recent runs. Was second to Clarendon House last time here.
THUNDER FLOW 8:00 Wolverhampton 3/1 Win – Finished mid-field on soft ground at York on debut in what was a warm heat.
Then after failing to improve when dropping in grade for his all-weather debut at Kempton, he ran a much better race at the same track last time when returning from a wind op, finishing 4th in what was a hot novice run at a strong pace, producing an excellent overall time figure.
The from two in that race have both been out and franked the form by again finishing 1st and 2nd, only this time in reverse order, and are rated 87 and 84 respectively. TF has been handed an opening mark of just 67 for his three races to date, and if running to anything like the level of last time over this shorter trip on the tapeta surface, then it should make him hard to beat.
CAPTAIN VALLO 7.00 Newcastle 10/1 each way – With a course and distance victory already in his pocket, CAPTAIN VALLO comes into this race with a more favourable mark than his recent outings here suggest. It's looking promising for a sharper performance this time around.
MAINSANE 2.05 Doncaster 10/1 each way – Fresh from a season of solid jumping, MAINSANE notched up two wins last term and has consistently been in the fray this season. I’m keen to see him contend for top honours today.
BOX OF WEXFORD 4.30 Market Rasen 15/2 each way – BOX OF WEXFORD really stepped up when he first tackled the fences, taking the win on his first go at Uttoxeter and holding form in his following starts. Recently, he's been off the boil, but I'm hopeful these new cheekpieces could reignite his spark.
APPLAUS 3.30 Carlisle 7/1 each way – Lately APPLAUS hasn't been showing his best, but with his rating adjusting downwards, this track is where he shines and I think he'll be poised for a strong performance today.
IWILLDOIT 3.15 Haydock 8/1 each way – In the kind of setting IWILLDOIT thrives in, he stands out as a strong contender.
After a compelling run in the Welsh National, where he held the lead for a considerable stretch, I'm banking on him to seize another significant victory to add to his collection of long-distance chase triumphs.
IWILLDOIT 3.15 Haydock 8/1 each way – In the kind of setting IWILLDOIT thrives in, he stands out as a strong contender.
After a compelling run in the Welsh National, where he held the lead for a considerable stretch, I'm banking on him to seize another significant victory to add to his collection of long-distance chase triumph
KAARANAH 20:15 Wolverhampton 7/1 each way – Has had excuses for finishing down the field on all three of his most recent all-weather starts where firstly, he will have needed the first after a break, secondly he got squeezed out early, and thirdly he got short of room down the home-straight when looking to make a challenge. He’s only gone down 2lb for those 3 runs, but he’s still on a handy mark nevertheless, and from a nice draw over the same C&D as his last two races, he looks set to go well.
NOT AVAILABLE 1.55 Sandown 16/1 each way – After three wins last season around the two-mile mark, NOT AVAILABLE seemed to lack some spark recently. Last seen at Newbury, he didn't quite deliver, but with a visor on today instead of blinkers, I'm looking for that change to bring out his best.
WIDE TO WEST 3.00 Hereford 28/1 each way – WIDE TO WEST showed ability in his three 3-mile Irish Point to Points, coming third postmarking 85 – he is still lightly raced with six runs under rules. Under rules he has been allowed to be brought along slowly, running over shorter trips in his maidens, including twice over 2 miles.
He only managed to postmark a high of 67 and was given a lowly opening handicap of 73. Wide to West has a tendency to jump to his right and looks inconvenienced going left-handed, so it was strange that connections have run him three times in his handicaps going left-handed.
They also moved him quickly over chases, which he is bred to do, and two runs ago jumped well and showed greenness, but showed determination to keep running on under pressure for the last mile to only go down by 8 lengths.
That was going left-handed, and his right-handed jumping was again against him. He suffered a breathing problem last time and was down the field, but they have given him a wind op since and today he looks interesting going right-handed off a lovely-looking mark of 74.
MAX DYNAMO 3.00 Lingfield 16/1 each way – Returning after a year, MAX DYNAMO's knack for a strong comeback was evident with a second-place finish at Fontwell.
Although he faced a tough Welsh National, I’m expecting him to be quite competitive today with conditions more in his favour.
DEMBE 7:30 Wolverhampton 7/1 each way – Well handicapped for his return last month, under an easy ride he ran a fair race to finish a never-nearer 8th in what was a decent quality 0-82 handicap at Kempton.
He takes a drop in grade & trip, and if running to the same level or better, he’ll run a big race.
DIBBLE DABBLE 5.45 Chelmsford 15/2 each way – DIBBLE DABBLE is on her handicap debut after three qualifying runs over seven furlongs.
The last of those she was last but one at the Essex venue back in October in a fillies novice. She ran better than the bare form as she was only beaten 5¼ lengths, two lengths behind two 71-rated fillies.
An opening mark of 54 looks exploitable as she has plenty of scope stepping up in trip as she’s related to ten-furlong winners. Hopefully all eight line-up as Dibble Dabble has a solid each-way chance.
HEY HO LET'S GO 8.00 Kempton 8/1 each way – HEY HO LET'S GO showed a spark of his old self last outing here, and given the race isn't too stacked, I reckon he's got a solid shot at crossing the line first this tim
THAKI 8.30 Wolverhampton 7/1 each way placed– THAKI has slipped to below his last winning mark and looked in good nick last time out. This could be his chance to shine once more on the course he knows well.
AIRSHOW 6.30 Southwell 10/1 each way placed – AIRSHOW's affinity for this track is clear with a couple of wins under his belt here. His recent form suggests he's ready to put on quite the performance again on the tapeta.ALFIE’S PRINCESS 1.25 Sandown 12/1 each way – I advise a bet on Alfie’s Princess now she is back on the likely sounder surface than when getting bogged down at Haydock the last day.
Prior to that she looked above average when beating Florencethemachine at Chepstow, who won well this week. She then won under a penalty at Exeter in a novice heat that the fourth won next time out and a mark of 120 looks exploitable.
SUPERIOR FORCE 6.00 Dundalk 9/1 each way placed– Though on a bit of a dry spell, SUPERIOR FORCE showed a spark of his old self with a third-place finish here a couple of weeks back. With a slight drop in the weights, I'm inclined to back him to rediscover the winning thread today.
MY GRANNY LILY 4.30 Ffos Las 17/2 each way WON – Returning to hurdles, MY GRANNY LILY has consistently been in the mix and despite a tumble last time out, she’s got a solid chance to show her resilience and bring home a place at the very least.
LOOKINGDANDY 5:00 Kempton 17/2 each way – Has been rubbing shoulders with several nice types during his time in three novice races, and shown a modicum of form each time without getting the full treatment from his jockey.
It was a similar case when making his handicap debut at Wolver last time where he went off a ridiculous price, and although only beating two home that day, I don’t think his jockey looked interested down the home straight. The in-form Rossa Ryan takes over, and down in grade/up a furlong in trip, I think he looks overpriced.
ARDMAYLE 2.30 Hereford 18/1 each way – ARDMAYLE is a previous course and distance victor who's ripe for improvement after his seasonal return, and back over fences, he could show us a glimpse of his past formGOOD TOO 6:30 Kempton 14/1 each way – An ex-Joseph O’Brien inmate who’s been given an easy time of things in his first two races for his new yard, which were both over a mile at this track.
There were definite encouragement and signs of a return to form in both those races, more so in his last race where he finished a never-nearer 6th of 8, and only beaten by 3.5L.
He’s been dropped a total of 7lb for those two runs, which is enough to see him drop into this 0-85 grade, and down to 7f with what will hopefully be a stronger ride, I think he can improve again which should be enough to see him finish in the mix.
CELTIC NED 4.10 Sandown 9/1 each way – After a promising start in handicaps at Lingfield, I’m backing CELTIC NED to take another step forward and win for Gary Moore's yard that's been in fine form right now.
CORNERSTONE LAD 2.25 Wetherby 17/2 each way – CORNERSTONE LAD, a familiar face here, has been placing in recent runs and now finds himself at a very appealing mark. Given his history on this course, I'm expecting a strong showing, even in this more competitive field.
SIGURD 1.50 Catterick 17/2 each way – I'm looking to SIGURD to recapture his old spark after a dip in form. Returning to Catterick with blinkers and tongue tie, and Brian Hughes in the saddle, he's shown he can do well here. His last 3 wins have come when partnered with Brian Hughes so hopefully we can see the same again.
DON’T RIGHTLY KNOW 3.10 Newbury 9/1 each way – DON’T RIGHTLY KNOW came back from a 2yr hiatus and hit the ground running with a win at Exeter, followed by a narrow miss at Wincanton, and then a strong third on her first handicap outing. This step up to 3 miles seems a fitting move for her next challenge.
SOLD THE DREAM 13:30 Kempton 12/1 each way – Had quite a rough time of things on debut here last month, getting quite badly bumped after the start, and then showing greenness when forced to race wide around the home bend, at which point he wasn’t given a hard time thereafter.
He’ll need to improve plenty to win this race, but this is a weaker level, plus he looked to have lots of improvement to come last time for a trainer whose win% almost doubles with his all-weather 3yo’s from first to second run (11% to 20%).
MEDIA SHOOTER 12.50 Lingfield 15/2 each way – We are confined to the AW again on Saturday, but we just have to get on and work with what we’ve got. At Lingfield it’s a shame that the second race is down to seven runners because I’m keen on an each-way play with Media Shooter. Karl Burke’s gelding is one from one on the AW and returns to an artificial surface after two lesser efforts on turf. On his Wolverhampton win in August, a mark of 73 under-estimates him and puts him right in the mix here. There are a few major firms going three places.
RAMON DI LORIA 6.45 Newcastle 11/1 each way – Last seen at Wolverhampton claiming victory, RAMON DI LORIA didn't quite hit the mark last outing but has a knack for Newcastle's track. I'm keeping an eye on him for a potential return to form.
We landed three winners on the Lucky 15 on 16th Jan 2024 (7/2, 100/30, and 5/1) for a 204pt return! That's really kickstarted our year and hopefully we'll be landing the full house before long. If that last runner had landed we'd have been looking at a massive haul just shy of 1000pts!
TABLES TURNED 4:15 Chelmsford 15/2 each way – His best form came over this C&D in May last year, and although he’s yet to win in 10 attempts, back at this track off a 7lb lower mark, he looks worth a saver.
AIM FOR THE MOON 20:00 Kempton 9/1 each way – A risky bet on a 7yo mare that’s only raced 4-times, and having her first start for a new yard. But trainer Michael Wigham had 3 winners from 7 new recruits last year, and this filly caught the eye twice for former trainer John Butler, once here at Kempton on her second start, staying on well from the rear, and then on her final start last year, keeping on well at Leicester once getting balanced.
None of those races are strong form however, so she’ll need to improve to win the race. But she’s racing against her own sex in a fairly weak race, and if Wigham has worked his magic, then it will be the time to back her.
TYNAN 4.35 Dundalk 40/1 each way – Tynan might still be a maiden after 14 starts, but his first 7 runs were over 1 mile plus and that just didn’t suit. Connections also put on Sorcha Woods for four runs and each time Tynan was very slowly away and never got involved.
He was brought back to 5F for three runs last year and wasn’t sighted, but it was only when he ran over 6F that he showed a liking for the trip and ran on to be a clear second over today’s course and distance (off 48).
That run was also after Sorcha Woods was jocked off and a pro jockey deployed. Tynan only raced three times in 2023, once in the summer (off a 192-day break) when he was an unfit no-show.
Then after another 144 day rest was a 7 length 8th of 14. His last run was 14 days later, just before Christmas, and he stripped fitter running on over an inadequate 5F to only go down by 3 lengths.
Now that latest run was significant as that was the closest he has ever finished over 5F by quite some margin, so he must be in good form with himself. It might have been because of the application of first-time cheekpieces, and that run can also be upgraded due to an unsuitable high draw.
I like that today he steps up to 6F at a time when he comes out of a decent mid-draw in stall 6. He has the benefit of decent pro jockey Shane B Kelly, and with the cheekpieces and tongue tie retained, he is no forlorn hope and the 40/1 with 4 places available must be taken.
SUCELLUS 18:00 Wolverhampton 14/1 each way – SUCELLUS is very well handicapped on old form, including when winning at this track/trip in Oct 22 off a mark of 77. He’s been a bit below par this year, but he’s run OK in his two Wolverhampton races, before struggling in a mile race at Newcastle last time. He’s been handed the blinkers to go with his usual tongue-tie, and if that combo can bring about some improvement, then he could outrun his odds.
MULGRAVE 4.45 Dundalk 13/2 each way – A horse we backed on his penultimate start at this track in November where, despite finishing well beat in the end, he ran well for a good way, but his keenness throughout the first half of the race, out pay to his chance in the latter stages.
He then race keenly again last time over the same trip. But down to 7f in a lower grade, with a useful 7lb claimer on board, and off a 7lb lower mark than that of his November run, although still needing to settle over this shorter trip, I think we need to back him again.
HILDENLEY 18:00 Kempton 12/1 each way – I’m going to take a chance on Hildenley, who’s having his first start for his new stable, and although they don’t have many winners on the flat, this fella looks a nice type who should have a future in racing.
He caught the eye on his last start for Tim Easterby almost a year ago when finishing 5th over a mile 4.5f despite pulling for his head for the majority of the race. He takes a big drop in both class and trip, and if this yard have him right, then he could easily outrun his odds.
HURTLE 6:00 Southwell 14/1 each way – Disappointed last time at Wolverhampton over 1m 6f, but that was further than he’s ever run before plus it was the fourth time on the bounce that he’s run badly in the blinkers after working for him the first two times.
His penultimate run when wearing the cheekpieces for the first time stands out as good form, finishing 3rd in a truly run race behind a useful Willie Haggas trained winner, and a subsequent class 4 handicap 3rd trained by the in form Ian Willams.
He’s not guaranteed to act in the cheekpieces for a second time, but Marco Botti has a better s/r with his runners when wearing this attire for the 2nd and 3rd times, and although up in grade, he’s racing off a featherweight, and in what doesn’t look the strongest heat, if they work again then he should finish in the mix.
GUNMETAL 6.30 Newcastle 14/1 each way – GUNMETAL is tipped by two of the most in-form tipsters right now: Underdog Racing and Model Man. So simply based on that, he should be well in here.
KATH'S TOYBOY 6.00 Southwell 12/1 each way – C&D winner KATHY’S TOYBOY ran respectably after 5 months off when third of 12 in handicap at this C&D 30 days ago, and could go all the way now with that under their belt.
TIGER BEETLE 6.00 Wolverhampton 13/2 each way – TIGER BEETLE seems to have a certain affinity for this course and distance, notching up all his three career wins here. After his latest victory in November, he could be ready to gallop to success once again.
M’LADY MAY 3.28 Hereford 66/1 each way – The 10-year-old M’LADY MAY looks an interesting contender. She has only raced 12 times, including six in Point to Points, and did remarkably well to come back from a three-year absence to win two Point to Points after only his second run back from injury.
Previous to the injury she had run fairly well in 2-mile and 2-mile 4F maiden hurdles, postmarking a high of 93 and running well enough on her handicap debut to finish a 16-length 4th off 95 (postmark 91).
M’Lady May made her seasonal reappearance recently and ran well for a long way before looking to blow up in the home straight. Bearing in mind she improved to win on her second run off that long layoff I think it's worth chancing her with Shane Quinlan being a handy jockey upgrade and able to claim 3lb to net her mark down to just 79.
Considering she previously posted consistently in the 90s she looks nicely handicapped. Her two wins were around right-handed tracks on soft ground, so today’s will suit.
ROMAN SPRING 6.30 Kempton 12/1 each way – I’m interested to see if ROMAN SPRING can build on his last performance (6th at Lingfield) with the cheekpieces going on for 1st time. I think he should be finishing in the places at the very least.