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Free Racing Tips Little Beauty for 08 Oct 2024

TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY

INTERNATIONAL GIRL 19:30 Southwell 11/1 each way – Has had just 7 races this year and won only one of them, at what’s probably her favourite track at Ripon.

But she’s had valid excuses (besides not racing at Ripon) in her 4 other races away from t he North Yorkshire venue, largely down to little luck in the run, together with the wrong trip/ground the last twice.

She's only raced on an artificial surface twice, finishing 2nd each time at both Newcastle and Wolverhampton, which were both open races for both sexes.

She’s racing against females only, and if enjoying the return to synthetics after just over 12 months, then with an ideal draw, she should go well.

GET TODAY'S LUCKY 15 FROM FRT HERE

Previous Selections October

GOOD MORNING ALEX 3.02 Pontefract 17/2 each way – GOOD MORNING ALEX has had a fantastic year and should be ready to resume winning ways after a couple of good runs in stronger contests following a mid-season break.

LA PASSIONARIA 1:30 Newmarket 12/1 each way – Improved the last twice when stepping up in distance where, despite finishing well beaten both times, she was running in group 3 races after returning from a 193-day break, which suggested connections were confident of improvement now tackling these middle distances.

She drops into handicap company back on easy ground, which should be a little less testing than that of her debut win at Salisbury where she beat Irish Derby 4th ‘Matsuri’, who is now rated a whopping 114. Unsurprisingly, 3yo’s have an excellent record in this race, having won 6 of the last 8 renewals, and with Ralph Beckett’s 3yo’s performing particularly well, she looks worth backing at 12/1.

ROCK ON JET 2.55 Hexham 7/1 each way – ROCK ON JET was second in both point-to-point races and ran better than the result suggests in a Cork bumper. He showed promise again when third on his hurdles debut over C&D in May, so there's more to come in this sphere.

DIPLOMATIE 4.40 Southwell 8/1 each way PLACED – DIPLOMATIE enjoyed a good run in Jersey over the summer and now joins a stable known for getting the best out of new arrivals. She’s one to keep an eye on.

NAOMHI 4.00 Kempton 14/1 each way – NAOMHI showed some promise on debut in an all-weather bumper and followed that up by finishing a decent fifth when switching to the Flat here six months later. She’s stepping back up in trip now and could improve.

TRAILBLAZER 1.50 Sedgefield 17/2 each way –

TRAILBLAZER broke his maiden at Perth over the summer, and now, back on better ground and at what looks his ideal trip, he gets the nod to get back to winning ways.

Previous Selections September

TIMEFALL 1:15 Newmarket 15/2 each way – A tight race with pretty much all fillies in with a shot of victory.

But Timefall arguably has the best form in the book, in particular her latest run at Doncaster in the valuable Weatherby’s Stakes race where she finished a never-nearer 8th behind some useful types rated from 82 all the way up to 103, and although she was receiving lumps of weight from her male rivals, I thought it was still a big run.

She gets to race against her own sex, and although the soft ground is a big worry as this will be by far the softest she’s raced on so far, she is bred to appreciate a bigger test of stamina, and with the booking of Rossa Ryan suggesting she is the pick of the Beckett runners, I’m happy to take a risk.

DRAGONFLAME 4:10 Newmarket 10/1 each way – An expensive, well-bred type that caught the eye at Newbury on debut, rallying late after getting short of room in what was a warm novice that’s been franked by a few including the winner ‘The Waco Kid’ who today won a group 3 at Newmarket.

He’ll be racing over a furlong further on totally different ground so there’s plenty of unknowns around the bet, plus he was a non-runner when entered for a return to Newbury on what was heavy ground earlier in the month, so he might not even run.

But with no more rain forecast, the ground shouldn’t be that testing come race time, plus we have Billy Loughnane booked to ride who’s won 4 times from just 13 rides for Brian Meehan, all of which have been on 2yo’s.

Charlie Appleby has a couple of potentially smart Godolphin runners in the race, but they’re rarely any value and regularly over-bet, so at nice odds for a trainer that’s had a few nice 2yo’s go in this year including group 2 winner ‘Rashabar’ (80/1 under Billy Loughnane), I think he looks worth risking.

JEANY MAY 4.25 Southwell 14/1 each way Placed at 18/1 – JEANY MAY heads into this race after a strong second at Musselburgh, and if she holds her form, she should be well in the mix again.

BLOW THE BUDGET 3.38 Perth 10/1 each way – BLOW THE BUDGET is still a maiden, but after a wind operation, she put in her best effort over hurdles with a third at Market Rasen in May. Although she struggled with the pace at Southwell in her next outing, she's an intriguing prospect for her chasing debut in what looks like a weaker race.

SPARTAN FIGHTER 8.30 Newcastle 14/1 each way PLACED – SPARTAN FIGHTER, a five-time C&D winner, put in a solid effort when finishing fourth of 12 here 21 days ago. With the blinkers back on and well-weighted, he should be right in the mix again.

PILGRIM 3:35 Ayr 16/1 each way – A speedily bred 3yo that’s won twice this year at both Musselburgh and Ascot, and I thought he ran quite well at York last time after a 61-day break despite finishing well beaten.

He’s a horse that can either lead or race prominently, so I just wonder if connections plan to do what ‘Bielsa’ did in this race in 2021 and that’s try and make all against the nearside rail from his 25 stall.

Joe Fanning is the right man for the job should that be the case, and although his mark of 100 looks a little lofty so early in his short career, I think he might still be improving for his in-form yard.

AGAINST THE WIND 3:05 Ayr 16/1 each way – I think the odds are easily opposable in this race, so with 4 places on offer with some firms, I’m happy to have an each-way bet in the form of ATW, who ran well for a long way in the valuable Goffs Millions race at York over 6f, and although the fractions weren’t break-neck, they were quick enough to suggest a strongly run 5f would suit him better.

That, together with this slightly sharper track, although plenty to do on the ratings, with conditions to suit he looks set to run a big race.

OFF SPIN 2.12 Ayr 10/1 each way – OFF SPIN was a respectable third on debut but tailed off on next run. Caught the eye on debut though and should make amends here today.
Bambalam looks the only big danger for him.

DARK SIDE THUNDER 5.15 Yarmouth 10/1 each way – Hasn’t won on the green stuff…..yet! Respectable second at York and caught my eye then to go in the notebook.
Has had some movement overnight on the odds market, so try to get the best price you can.

STORMIE OUTLOOK 2.55 Punchestown 11/1 each way Placed – Victories at Gowran Park and Killarney over the past few months. Not disgraced on latest two runs and should be in the mix here.

KING OF THE JUNGLE 3.50 Thirsk 8/1 each way WON – Has previous wins to his name all over 5f. Up in trip here to 6f but shouldn’t cause a problem.

VINTAGE CLARETS 2.25 Doncaster 12/1 each way – Was fifth in this last year and wasn’t that disgraced. Always puts in a decent effort and a place finish looks likely today for VINTAGE CLARETS. American Affair and Aberama Gold look the best of the rest.

LOWTON 4.15 Sandown 7/1 each way – The lightly-raced 4-yr-old LOWTON looks well-handicapped based on his York form from last autumn. He could be worth siding with, especially as he's likely to leave that recent Southwell run behind.

GRISELDA 1.50 Doncaster 14/1 each way WON – GRISELDA showed real progress earlier in the season with a third win in a 6f Thirsk nursery back in July. The last two outings haven’t gone to plan, but the step up to 7f at York may have been too much. This slight drop back in distance should be right up her street.

ANYTRIXWILLDO 6.10 Worcester 9/1 each way – ANYTRIXWILLDO has shown promise in the past, and while conditions may not have suited him in his last campaign, the step up in trip could bring out the best in him this time around. He’s worth considering to make a strong return.

OBEE JO 5.30 Catterick 8/1 each way – Will relish the soft ground and does have a fair few wins to his name, the most recent at Leicester on heavy ground. Amie Waugh booked again to ride.

CARRAREA 4.48 Perth 8/1 each way – Has had a few goes here and is improving on every run. Trip should suit as well as the ground.

ROAD TO WEMBLEY 1.50 Haydock 10/1 each way – ROAD TO WEMBLEY has had great success on the artificial tracks and did impress on turf debut last time out at Newbury.

Drop in trip will suit him too.

INTO THE SUNSET 2.45 Bangor 12/1 each way – INTO THE SUNSET might be worth a shot here, carrying bottom weight and switching back to hurdles. With a talented conditional taking off an extra 7 lb, he could be in with a shout.

EDWARDTHENINTH 20:00 Wolverhampton 10/1 each way - Has been given an easy time of things in his 3 novice races which were all of a decent standard, catching the eye to some degree in the first, then getting backed on course in the second (broke slow) before dropping in trip for the third indicating that he’s there to get a decent handicap mark given that he’s bred for further.

He steps up to 1m 4f tomorrow off an opening mark of just 59, and hailing from a shrewd yard with its handicappers going up in trip, I think he looks worth risking.

LADYPACKSAPUNCH 5.17 Bath 13/2 each way – LADYPACKSAPUNCH has really benefitted from the visor in her last three runs, winning over this C&D and putting in a solid performance when fourth here 18 days ago. In her current form, she looks capable of adding another win to her tally.

ACADEMY WINNER 17:05 Gowran Park 12/1 each way – Hasn’t pulled up any trees in his 4 races to date, but he ran quite well on the second of those runs, and caught the eye last time, staying on well from the rear when stepping up to 7f for the first time, and although that was only a claiming race, he was giving a lot of weight away that day despite being a 3yo, plus the time of the race compared well to the two other 7f races on the card, as well as all the other races.

He’s off his true handicap mark, and if appreciating this extra furlong, then he could easily outrun his odds.

That was another race over 6f, but I’ve always been of the thinking that he’s better over 5 as his form figures over that trip on good ground/all-weather read 121.

He’s been a bit slow from the gate the last twice so he’ll have to improve on that score if he’s to make an impact at this listed level. But this stiff, uphill 5f could be key, and if breaking well I think he can go well.