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Free Racing Tips Little Beauty for 30 January 2023
TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
HOLD THAT TAUGHT 3.35 Hereford 13/2 each way – HOLD THAT TAUGHT defied a 1lb higher mark to score at Carlisle on last season's reappearance, although he hasn’t hit the same heights since. Still, he has a lot of potential if finding some of that form again and has a good chance here off a reduced mark.
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HOLD THE NOTE 3.50 Doncaster 15/2 each way – HOLD THE NOTE comes here handily weighted and in very good nick too so with this shorter trip likely to play to his strengths he makes the most appeal.
CLEARANCE 5:15 Wolverhampton 18/1 each way – A risky bet in the sense that it’s hard to work out whether this horse is well handicapped or not.
But he looked well when returning to the all-weather for the first time in just over 14 months last time, and although only finishing 11th of 13, I got the feeling that had he been closer to the leaders that day he’d have fared much better, as he looked to have more running left in him out the back racing off a steady pace.
His mark for the all-weather is still quite high because of his form turf, but he’s still been dropped a further 4lb for that last run which looks generous., and he ran well over hurdles at Leicester in November over hurdles over the winter, so he’s still got the ability to win a race at the age of 8, and if he can build on the last run at Lingfield in what looks a less competitive race, then I see no reason why he can’t outrun his odds to at least finish in the places.
SHOT OF LOVE 1:35 Southwell 9/1 each way – Irish import who’s had just the two starts for Mick Appleby, racing over what’s probably an inadequate trip of 6f going by his Irish debut form (stayed on well over 7f) as well as his breeding (half-brother to a group 3 third over 1m 1f).
He never really jumped out as a future winner in either of his runs for Appleby, but he did plug on in both races suggesting a mile could suit.
He’s in a higher class of race, but this looks a weak 0-90 handicap with just one horse rated over 80, ‘Brave Emperor’ rated 91, which means he has to concede almost a stone and upwards to the rest of the field, which will be no easy task, especially as he himself is running over a mile for the first time.
Shot Of Love gets in here carrying just 8st 5lbs for his first venture above 8f, and if he can build on those earlier two runs for this yard as well as his much better Irish debut, then I think he should prove competitive in this small field 3yo handicap
RELKANDAM 2.45 Catterick 8/1 each way – Two-time C&D winner RELKANDAM took a step in the right direction and looked as though he’d returned to form when finding third at Sedgefield last time out.
He also won this same race from an 8lb higher mark last year, so it looks as though everything may have lined up for him to claim it again.
DAAFY 8:30 Southwell 8/1 each way – Was in good form prior to running well below par last time where, despite finishing in 11th place, I’m happy to forgive that run as he got bumped in to down the back straight and was never travelling thereafter.
He’s a hold-up horse that needs everything to fall right being is a hostage to a strong pace, but that looks guaranteed with this line-up and with my only real concern being his tricky one draw for a hold-up horse, so long as he gets the strong early pace and they sort themselves out early from the gate and reducing traffic problems, then I think he should have conditions to suit.
The short-priced fav will be hard to beat, but under a 10lb penalty for his two recent runs, I’m willing to take him on with an each-way poke.
HIGHLAND QUEEN 4.23 Southwell 11/1 each way – It could be worth chancing HIGHLAND QUEEN who was far from disgraced when finishing midfield in a C&D handicap 5 weeks ago and the pick of her exploits suggests there's a race in her from this career-low mark.
DEFINITE 3:05 Wolverhampton 14/1 each way – This race looks quite tight between the top 6, so I’m going to take a chance on DEFINITE having his first start for Milton Harris, a trainer with a good record with new recruits, especially in handicaps on the all-weather which is 5 wins from 20 runners and a 25% s/r, two of which came last year from just 4 runners and one of them was from the Ralph Beckett yard like today’s runner.
Form wise, he’s run well in better company than this for his former yard but mainly on turf, wining once at Haydock and running well in class 3 at Nottingham.
He has just one all-weather run to his name which was his final start form Beckett over C&D where he actually ran OK in a decent 0-80 handicap. He’s had a wind-op since joining Harris, and if it’s done the trick and he’s ready to roll after his break, then this 42,000GNS purchase which was by his trainer/Avon Racing, might be able to run well at what’s now a nice price.
TWO TWO TIME 2.05 Dundalk 9/1 each way – A tentative vote goes to TWO TWO TIME, as the horse gave a creditable effort in his recent race, placing here two weeks ago. He’s been given a 2 lb weight reduction which may be enough to get him across the line first this time.
REGAL GLORY 1.40 Kempton 15/2 each way – The race REGAL GLORY won at Lingfield last month has already thrown up a couple of winners so she may be able to overcome a small rise, particularly as stall 2 is a nice draw for one who made all on that occasion.
KINGCORMAC 3.10 Hereford 9/2 – KINGCORMAC is on the upgrade and should give another good account.
He was much improved, placing twice since being switched to chasing for his new yard this season and should get the better of the fav Magnificent Ben arriving from an 8-month break.
GRUMPY CHARLEY 3.00 Warwick 15/2 each way – Several of the contenders have run well over CD in the past including the winner from two years Notachance.
In the conditions it may pay to follow a less exposed improver and I’m going to take a chance with GRUMPY CHARLEY who put a shocking seasonal debut behind him when winning at Newbury last time out. He’s proven in testing conditions and marathon trips are expected to suit and I expect him to go off much shorter.
HIDEO 1.40 Catterick 7/1 each way – HIDEO, who’s had a promising start in France over hurdles and fences, has not yet produced the same level of performance in Britain.
However, he has dropped significantly in the weights and will be ridden by Brian Hughes, who’s coming off a successful season with the stable, so he should be worth a closer look.
ONE STEP BEYOND 3.45 Lingfield 17/2 each way – With four AW wins last year, including one over C&D, ONE STEP BEYOND needs to be considered now he’s being significantly upped back in trip. If he rediscovers his last winning form, he should be in with a big shout.
BIRD FOR LIFE 8:00 Southwell 7/1 each way – 9yo but very consistent and despite winning three of her last five races, she’s still only 8lb higher than when winning the first of those races at Wolverhampton.
There’s a couple that are less exposed in this race, but they certainly don’t look world beaters, and if BFL can run to the same level as either of her last five races, then it should easily be enough to see her finish in the places.
FORTUNE COOKIE 3:35 Taunton 16/1 each way – Seemingly travelling well when almost coming to grief at the 6th hurdle having her first start for the Henry Oliver yard at Hereford last time, and although it’s impossible to tell how she’d have fared during the rest of the race, she was travelling well within herself at the time, before being pulled up by her jockey who probably thought it was too much of a serious incident, as she sprawled quite badly.
She’s down in trip against her own sex, and so long as that experience hasn’t blunted her confidence too much, with that first run for her new yard under her belt, I think she could go well.
DR T J ECKLEBURG 3.25 Sandown 10/1 each way – The five-year-old was a useful juvenile hurdle and just missed the cut for the Boodles when an unrequired reserve. He was disappointing on his final start last season when only eighth on quick ground at Ascot.
DR T J ECKLEBURG shaped encouragingly on seasonal debut when runner-up at Leicester. Beaten three lengths but ahead of a last time out winner in third, that was a decent effort after a 245-day break and he should be fitter for this assignment, and with four places on offer, he warrants an interest.
TODAY'S LUCKY 15
GEMIRANDE 1.15 Sandown 5/2 – GEMIRANDE looks to be firmly on the up for Venetia Williams and shouldn’t be troubled by the 10 lb hike in the weights for his stylish success at Southwell.
CELEBRE D'ALLEN 1.30 Wincanton 5/2 – Philip Hobbs has won this 3 times since 2015 and that already good record might be enhanced by CELEBRE D'ALLEN, who did very well at around this trip last season.
DJELO 3.35 Sandown 7/2 – DJELO was turned over at odds on when last seen but, prior to that, he'd been very impressive on his British debut, so he's worth another chance.
ANOTHER CRICK 2.05 Wincanton 4/1 – ANOTHER CRICK won this off a higher mark last year and, while he's been operating below his best lately, he has blinkers fitted now and we should expect a bold showing.
ALLEGRO FORTE 4.00 Ludlow 5/1 – ALLEGRO FORTE makes plenty of appeal on paper which can hopefully translate to the course. The Highland Reel filly is closely related to the useful bumper/2m hurdle winner Luccia and hurdler Hooper. The yard has been going well with their bumper runners, and so ALLEGRO FORTE may be one of the key contenders here.
MANIMOLE 1.00 Ffos Las 15/2 each way – Caught the eye when third on debut here in October, although he failed to back up that promising run when in a first-time hood at Lingfield last month. It remains early days though, and the return to this course and the heavier going may well suit them
LOST IN TIME 8:00 Kempton 16/1 each way – Has frustrated by being ungenuine after catching the eye here over a mile in November. I promised myself after his latest flop that I’d give this ex-Godophin trained son of Dubawi one more chance if seen wearing headgear for the first time, and that’s exactly why I’m going to advise a small bet on him down to 7f off an 8lb lower mark than that run here in Nov.
AL KHAWANEEJ STORM 5:30 Wolverhampton 7/1 each way – A rare tip on a debutante, but this is a well-bred son of Sea The Moon and is the only one of runners with a Derby entry. Kevin Foy his trainer has only had 5 3yo debutantes run, and although none won, being a Derby entry, I have a sneaky suspicion that this fella might be a bit special.
BEGIN THE LUCK 3.30 Plumpton 13/2 each way – While BEGIN THE LUCK drew a blank since his two wins in spring 2021, he's been knocking firmly on the door lately, finishing runner-up 3 times. He’s been nudged up another 2 lb but it's unlikely to prevent another strong display today.
TODAY'S LUCKY 15
ONLY MONEY 1:15 Newbury 4/1 – ONLY MONEY turned in another solid effort when beaten only by a progressive rival over C&D in November and, operating from a 1 lb lower mark, he looks sure to be a big player again.
LANGLEY HUNDRED 1:35 Warwick 10/3 – LANGLEY HUNDRED arrives at the top of his game and, with this first go beyond 3m looking a plus, he is fancied to complete a quick hat-trick.
BLENKINSOP 1:50 Newbury 5/1 – BLENKINSOP has been highly progressive since having his attentions turned to handicaps and, while he's up in grade, he makes plenty of appeal as he bids to complete a four-timer.
MORGAN FAIRY 2:40 Lingfield 3/2 – Quite a useful fillies' event in which I’d give the vote to MORGAN FAIRY, who hails from a top yard and has a very solid AW record.
TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
ENQUARDE 3.00 Haydock 17/2 each way – ENQUARDE landed the Tommy Whittle here last season and finished his campaign with a creditable second back over the same C&D in April. His jumping over the fences at Aintree let him down a little on his last run, but he should do better at this course which he seems to prefer.
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AMIRITE 1.45 Leopardstown 12/1 each way – A useful novice hurdler last season, AMIRITE made a winning start over fences in a Fairyhouse maiden back in October. Despite a bad mistake that almost unseated Rachael Blackmoore last time out, he still ran well up until that point and should have more to offer.
MARTINHAL 2.35 Leicester 13/2 each way – MARTINHAL looks the value bet, he’s returning from an absence but looks weighted to have a say if fully tuned up and ready to go at the first time of asking.
WEST TO THE BRIDGE 2.10 Chepstow 14/1 each way – A very competitive handicap where WEST TO THE BRIDGE appeals. He has the tongue tie he wore when gaining all 4 wins last season refitted for the first time this term and might be worth chancing to bounce back to form having dipped to 3 lb below his last successful mark.
WILL STING 2.15 Market Rasen 7/1 each way – WILL STING was runner-up off 9 lb higher at Sandown just over a year ago.
He looked sharper for his reappearance when finishing second to a next-time-out winner over 2m here 25 days ago.
And on his last time here, he bumped into another runner which hampered his chances. Now he should be taken to go one better off the same mark.
WAKE UP HARRY 3:20 Lingfield 17/2 each way – Raced far too keen on his return from a long break last time, stepping up to a mile 2f for the first time after generally racing over 7f. But he ran well for a long way on the front and had all his rivals off the bridle 2f out before tiring late and finishing last.
He drops in trip and grade at a track where he’s made all the running to win in a decent time when recording his only victory last year, and with not much in way of race-leaders in this field, if allowed the chance to try that tactic again, then I think he should go well.
SILVERLODE 5:00 Wolverhampton 16/1 each way – Never got the chance to show what he could do in his three novice races over trips too short.
But he ran his best race when stepped up in trip last time on his handicap debut at Southwell, and although well beat with the first-time hood not making a great deal of difference, there was definite ability shown there with the potential of improving again over slightly further.
He’s a half-brother to a 7-time hurdle winner, and if settling over this slightly longer trip, then I think he can go well in what looks, bar the fav, quite a weak race.
MISTAMAC 5:15 Newcastle 13/2 each way – Megans Moon was a big eye-catcher here on her debut and looks the likely winner. But I’m going to suggest an each-way bet on MISTAMAC who’s a nice-looking son of Profitable, and who ran well at Catterick on debut over 5f, before being quite well backed here at the start of the month stepped up to 6f.
But he ruined his chance by racing keenly that day and although well beat, he ran well for a way and was still in there pitching at the furlong pole. He drops back to 5f, and if settling better over this shorter trip, then I can see him finishing in the places at the very least, with the small chance of troubling the fav, especially if she doesn’t perform as well this time wearing the hood for a second time.
SCENIC 12:50 Kempton 9/1 each way – Would probably have finished 2nd here last time with a clear run behind the smart looking ‘Inner Space’ and with the second and fourth winning and finishing 2nd on the subsequent outings, it gives the strength of the form plenty of credence.
Same C&D and receiving 11lb from the penalized fav, she looks the one to give him the biggest challenge.
TODAY'S LUCKY 15
YIMOI 1.15 – Lingfield 9/2 – YIMOI made a return to form with a creditable run finishing second of 10 in s handicap at Chelmsford at the start of the month. He should go well racing off same mark again.
ADMIRABLE LAD 1.50 – Lingfield 2/1 – A few with chances but the vote goes to ADMIRABLE LAD who saw his winning run come to an end when runner-up at Chelmsford but still posted a very good effort after a break given he was bumped by the winner late on.
PABLO PRINCE 2.25 – Lingfield 3/1 – PABLO PRINCE has been in reasonable form lately and he was successful on his last visit to this track, so he makes most appeal.
QUEEN OF IPANEMA 3.00 – Lingfield 9/4 – QUEEN OF IPANEMA has improved plenty for the switch to handicaps/fitting of a tongue tie, completing a rapid 5-timer over further at Wolverhampton 2 weeks ago. It's unlikely she's reached her limit just yet and she looks sure to go well again.
🏇TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
MAKINMEDOIT 3.33 – Lingfield 11/2 – The useful filly MAKINMEDOIT has a decent strike rate this year with 3 wins from 9 runs, including one most recently at this C&D at the end of last month. That may not prove to be her limit on the artificial surface, so she should be a player here.
HIERONYMUS 7:15 Kempton 16/1 each way – There are a number of chances in this competitive class 3 handicap, however, it may be worth taking a chance on a horse who loves racing at Kempton.
George Baker’s Hieronymus has won three of its eight appearances at this track and finished second of 14 in a class 2 race during its last visit here. It’s running off a pound higher today, however, it’s facing a smaller field and has already been backed in overnight.
THUNDER GAP 3.03 Southwell 7/2 – In the middle-distance handicap at Southwell Uther Pendragon is attempting to follow up a win at Lingfield on Monday but looks vulnerable with a 4lbs penalty seeing as it took him twenty-nine attempts to get off the mark in a low-grade race. At the other end of the scale, THUNDER GAP is having only his seventh career start. Tom Tate’s gelding was last of ten at the track two starts back but that was after an absence of over 500 days, and he ran better when runner-up at Newcastle in October. That doesn’t look to have been a great race, but it was a 0-65 heat and Thunder Gap is dropping into 0-55 company here.
CORSICAN CAPER 5.00 Kempton 5:00 13/2 each way – Kevin Philippart De Foy is in good form at present and the Fast Company colt makes his handicap debut on a tempting mark of 71. The handicapper may have over-reacted to a poor run last time out when CORSICAN CAPER was only ten of twelve in a York sales race in October.
Prior to that, the colt was only beaten ¾ length in a Yarmouth maiden that is working out well. On his racecourse debut, he appeared to act well enough over CD when fourth, he was beaten 8 lengths, but the winner won the group one Criterium de Saint-Cloud. I’m prepared to forgive the York run and the selection should be capable of winning what looks a moderate 0-75 event.
CATESBY 6:45 Wolverhampton 25/1 each way – Ran quite well on his return from just over a two-month break, in a race that was run at a very good tempo at Southwell. Always on the front end from his inside draw, he was still in there pitching inside the final furlong before being passed by four rivals, three of which have since won.
He’s drawn wide in what’s admittedly quite a competitive heat, but that could assure that he’s held up this time as opposed to chasing a strong pace like last time, and if he’s trained on since that last run in October, then I think he should be able to run into a place at least.
CHAZZESMEE 4.45 Dundalk 6/1 each way – CHAZZESMEE shaped with plenty of encouragement back from a year off last month in a big-field Curragh handicap where he was upped to 1¼m and equipped with a first-time hood (retained here).
He travelled through much of that race as if he was ahead of his mark yet he's 2 lb lower here and the return to this trip promises to suit, so there's much to like.
ALHAMBRA PALACE 1:44 Newcastle 10/1 – Well beat on his racecourse debut in what looked a very warm Newbury novice, but he travelled well into the race before becoming short of room for several strides resulting in his jockey having to stop riding which led to the horse losing plenty of momentum. He never really picked up again after that, but it was very testing ground that day and with it being his first visit to a race track it’s easily forgivable.
He’s quite well-bred and cost a tidy 230,000GNS, so in what looks a weaker race on much less testing tapeta ground, I think he looks worth backing in the hope that these conditions suit, and he can pay back a very small chunk of his price tag.
ALL IN THE HIPS 2.00 Wolverhampton 6/1 – Ran well when having her first start for the David Evans yard last time, and with a better start I think she’d have finished in the places at the very least.
She’ll need to be more alert from the gate tomorrow, especially being drawn in stall 1, but she’s a nice-looking filly with plenty of good form in Ireland, and if she breaks well then I think she can run a big race also.
FOURSOME 7:50 Southwell 7/1 each way – Ran well when 3rd and having her first start for Olly Willams last time in a race that was run at a good pace at this track last month to produce a very good time-figure. S
he’s an ex-Willie Haggas filly that showed some decent form for that yard, and a few times looked as though this longer trip might suit.
The second horse (Haku) has subsequently won at Kempton to frank her last piece of form, and although this race looks competitive, and leaving her vulnerable to a few in-form males, I still think she looks a little overpriced.
Our run of good form continued with yesterday’s Little Beauty winner FINE WINE at 11/1 (courtesy of the Outside Edge). And the Lucky 15 found another two winners to net 10pts profit. Not quite as impressive as the full house on Thursday, but I can’t complain.
Today's Lucky 15 is free for all, and hopefully there’s still plenty more to come!
🏇 TODAY'S LUCKY 15
AHOY SENOR 1.30 – Aintree 3/2 – AHOY SENOR proved a big disappointment in the Charlie Hall but Lucinda Russell's most imposing 7-yr-old should be backed at a track where he’s currently two from two.
LOVE ENVOI 2.20 – Sandown 13/8 – LOVE ENVOI won a Listed Grade 2 here en route to the Cheltenham Festival success last season and sets the standard on her handicap debut.
RIDERS ONTHE STORM 2.40 – Aintree 3/1 – A high-class chaser in his pomp, RIDERS ONTHE STORM capitalised on his much-reduced mark under an excellent ride to land the Old Roan Chase (strong form) on return. Consistency hasn't always been his strong suit but a 2 lb higher mark certainly doesn't look prohibitive if arriving in the same groove and he could be worth siding with to enhance his already sound C&D record.
DEISE ABA 3.30 – Sandown 9/2 – DEISE ABA has an excellent record around here and was only just denied in this last year off a similar mark.
🏇TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
DR KANANGA 2.05 – Aintree 9/1 each way – DR KANANGA should be sharper for a recent spin over hurdles. Since being switched to them on his reappearance, he ran well for second place in a Bangor novice. That should put him spot on for this and he likely has more to offer over fences.
TODAY'S LITTLE BEAUTY
FINE WINE 5.45 Newcastle 11/1 each way – FINE WINE showed near smart form when landing a 9-runner handicap at Southwell 16 days ago, keeping on well to make it five wins from 15 runs so far this year, and 6 wins from the last 13 months. Five of those wins have all come on the all-weather, and with plenty of experience at this distance, he can continue the good form.