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Football Tips 28 May 2020

GERMANY BUNDESLIGA 2

20.30 CET

VFB Stuttgart : Hamburger SV

Pick: HAMBURGER SV AH +0.25

odds 1.81 at Pinnacle or 1.80 at Bet365

Stake: 2% of your running bank rol

Grading:

In case of a draw the bet will be a HALF win

Analysis

Top duel between 2 teams that simply belong to Bundesliga 1 because of their long tradition here.

Anyway, as it looks now only 1 of them will reach the direct promotion spot at the very end of the season. Stuttgart on 3 trailing Hamburg by 1 point.

The team from Southern Germany with a bad series of 4 games without a single win.  After Stuttgarts  3:2 defeat at Kiel last week-end the critical voices got louder especially about coach Pellegrino Matarazzo but the answer to that has been a very surprising extension of Matarazzos contract to 2022 before this important game.

This contract will be valid for either Bundesliga 1 or 2. Problem for the home team tonight should be the missing of their probably most important player, offensive midfielder Daniel Daniel Didavi who is suspended.

In addition to that defensive midfielder, Atakan Karazor, will also be suspended. Hamburg also with some disappointing results in the last games only winning 1 out of the last 5.

Anyway, their performances in the 2 games after the pandemic break have been encouraging although both games only ended in draws. Especially in the last match against league Bielefeld they were the clearly better team, creating lots of good goal chances.

The only problem was that they could not convert in that game that probably even was the best game of them so far this season. For the HSV fans it should be encouraging to see that offensive midfielder, Aaron Hunt as well as offensive player Martin Harnik seem to finally have found their old form again.

With their big experience they are so important for this team. Just like their coach Dieter Hecking (55) whose calmness is a big plus for the club in days like this. Concerning the current form of the teams

I cannot see a home win in this game. 

Alwin Amler  

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Football Tips for 12 Mar 2020

Europa League picks 


18.55 CET

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT AH -0.5 : FC Basel

odds 1.64 at Pinnacle or 1.60 at Bet365

Stake 1 % of your running bank roll 


Additional bet for the Asian market 

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT TOTAL GOALS OVER 1.5

odds 1.68 at Pinnacle 

Stake 1 % of your running bank roll 


Analysis 

As usual Frankfurt is expected to play with more than 100 % motivation like in all of their Europe League matches especially as in the Bundesliga they can play relaxed currently being positioned in the rather safe middle zone of the table with no more realistic chances to reach an European spot by the end of this season. Frankfurt a real strong home team in general.

They have not lost any Europe League home game against a Swiss team up to now  (3-1-0). Also Basels overall European Cup stats are bad when it comes to their matches in Germany  (1-2-5). Problem for the guests should be the missing game practice as the league in Switzerland has been stopped due to the corona virus crisis.

Thus the last Basel game was on the 27th of February. Their form before this break was bad with only 1 win out of 6 games. To make this upcoming game even more difficult for them they also have to cope with the problem of some important missing players.

Looks very much like a home win to me although the game  cannot be attended by the fans because of the corona virus problem .


Alwin Amler 



Football Tips for 11 Mar 2020

21.00 CET

FC LIVERPOOL AH -0.5 : Athletico Madrid

odds 1.55 at Pinnacle or 1.50 at Bet365

Stake 1 % of your running bank roll 


Additional pick 

OVER 2.25 odds 1.78 at Pinnacle or 1.725 at Bet365

Stake 1% of your running bank roll 


Grading 

AH -0.5 means Liverpool win no matter the result 

Over 2.25: in case of exactly 2 goals being scored overall the bet would be HALF lost


Analysis 

No easy task at all even for a team like the running Champions League defender Liverpool to overturn the 0:1 deficit from the 1st leg game at the Wanda Metropolitano as Athletico is expected to park the bus fighting like hell again like they usually do under coach Diego Simeone.

Anyway,  at least Juergen Klopps stats as coach when it comes to European Cup home matches are fantastic (11-4-0). His teams have never been kicked-out in any play-off round.

I have finally decided to support them in this bet although their current form is not good with 3 losses in the last 5 matches in all competitions.

Also they have to cope with the handicap of missing first goal keeper Alisson due to his hip injury.  He will be replaced by Adrian who simply is not of his class. Good news for Klopps men that captain and midfielder Jordan Henderson will be back in the starting eleven.

Athletico currently only on the 5th spot of the La Liga table. They come from a 2:2 draw at home against CF Seville. Due to the fact that the  Reds' defense has not made the best impression the last few weeks and that Alisson cannot play I will also go for the over in that game. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 10 Mar 2020

21.00 CET

CF VALENCIA : ATALANTA BERGAMO

OVER 3

odds 1.69 at Pinnacle or 1.675 at Bet365

Stake 2 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

Cash Back in case of exactly 3 goals being scored in this game 


Analysis 

It almost looks like a mission impossible  for Valencia to survive this round after the harsh 4:1 loss in game 1 at Italy. What makes the task even harder for the home team is that no fans will be allowed to attend this game live in the stadium because of the circling Corona virus.

Like usual Atalanta under coach Gian Piero Gasperini is expected to attack like crazy in this match  especially as an away goal by them would mean that Valencia must score 5 to survive which indeed should not be realistic concerning the current sub-standard form they have.

As a matter of fact Valencia is the only top La Liga team with a negative goal balance and their defense in general is rather unsafe already having conceded 39 goals in the league so far this season.

In Mangala, Garay and Piccini they have  important defensive missings for this match. I could see an open game with goals on both ends.


Alwin Amler


Football Tips for 08 Mar 2020

13.00 CET

TSV BUCHBACH AH +0.25 : Eichstätt

odds 1.79 at Pinnacle or 1.775 at Bet365

Stake 2% of your running bank roll 


Grading 

In case of a draw the bet will be a HALF win which would mean 1.39£ in return for the 1 £ bettor.


Analysis

Always "special" to play at Buchbach as the fans there are very loyal and  like a real family. Today the first home game after the long winter break will be celebrated with a kind of tailgate party starting 2 hours before kick-off.

During the break the team got enforced with some new signings above all legendary Bavarian striker Karl Heinz Lappe. Buchbach with only 1 loss out of the last 8 home games.

I dont think they will lose this first 2020 home match .


Alwin Amler 



Football Tips for 07 Mar 2020

14.00 CET

Schalke 04 U 23 : BERGISCH GLADBACH AH +1

odds 1.72 at Bet365 or 1.71 at Pinnacle 

Stake 2 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

Cash Back in case of a Schalke win by exactly 1 goal margin. 


Analysis 

Schalke with an ultra-long list of missings for this game and definitely with no support by the A-team.


Alwin Amler 



Football Tips for 06 Mar 2020

20.00 CET

Paderborn:  1. FC Köln

OVER 3 

odds 1.84 at bet365 or 1.83 at Pinnacle 

Stake 2 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

Cash Back in case of exactly 3 goals being scored in this game 


Analysis 

This game practically a do-or-die for the home team as they are trailing the safe zone by 9 points. Their opponent from Cologne meanwhile out of the relegation zone up into the safe middle part  of the table after a great run of 6 wins in the last 8 matches.

Anyway no single Paderborn fan is angry about the bad situation in the table and Paderborn coach Steffen Baumgart not in danger of getting sacked at all as everyone simply enjoys the courageous very offensive-minded style of play this team goes for on the pitch.

No wonder that 3.75 goals on average have been scored in all of Paderborns home games so far this season.

In 83% of those games both teams scored. 3.82 goals on average have been scored in all of Koelns away games so far this season. Last season the games between those 2 contenders ended with 3:2 and 5:3 wins for Paderborn .

Cologne won the first game this season  at home by 3:0. Good for the home team that important midfielder Sabiri will be back from injury. On Colognes side first goal keeper Timo Horn will be missing as he is suffering from the flu.

Koelns top striker J. Cordoba is suspended and will be replaced by in-form Mark Uth. Paderborn urgently needs 3 points and Cologne, a team on the run, can play rather relaxed . I expect an open game with goals probably on both ends. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 04 Mar 2020

20.45 CET 

Eintracht Frankfurt: Werder Bremen

OVER 2.75 

odds 1.85 either at Pinnacle or Bet365

Stake 1 % of your running bank roll 


additional bet for the Asian bettors 

WERDER BREMEN TOTAL GOALS OVER 1

odds 2.090 at Pinnacle 

Stake 1% of your running bank roll 


Grading 

cash back in case of Bremen scoring exactly 1 goal in the TOTAL goals bet 

In case of exactly 3 goals being scored the over bet is a HALF win which means a 1£ bettor would get 1.425£ in return


Analysis 

Frankfurts focus for the rest of the season should be on the Cup competition  respectively the Europa League as in the Bundesliga they are positioned in the safe but boring middle part of the table. For Bremen the fight against relegation in the Bundesliga surely has priority but they take the Cup very seriously and proved it by eliminating Dortmund in the last round.

Bremens coach Florian Kohveldt has already announced that his team will "GO FOR IT" as they have nothing to lose in this quarter final. 3.58 goals have been scored on average in the 12 Frankfurt league home games so far this season. 3.66 goals have been scored on average in the 12 Bremen away games.

In all of the last 7 between those 2 teams 3 or more goals have been scored. The first Bundesliga game this season  at Frankfurt ended in a 2:2 draw. This should become a match with goals on both ends. 


Alwin Amler 



Football Tips for 03 Mar 2020

20.45 CET

Schalke 04 : BAYERN MUNICH AH -1.5

odds 1.72 at Pinnacle or 1.70 at Bet365

Stake  2 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

The bet will be won with a 2 goal margin Munich win 


Analysis

Schalke in terrible form winning only 3 points out of the last 6 matches with a goal margin of 1:14. Main problem for that should be the current dramatic injury crisis with almost all of their best players being sidelined.

No Kabak, Serdar,Mascarell,Stambouli, Sane and Caligiuri. Also goal keeper Nübel with catastrophic performances in the last 2 games. In addition to that offensive midfielder Amine Harit and attacker Benito Raman are totally out of form. In the league Schalke got trashed by the German record champ in the 5:0 defeat at the Allianz Arena in Munich.

Although Bayerns current schedule is rather hectic and in Lewandowski,  Conan and Hernandez they also have some very serious missings but even without the help of their scoring machine Lewandowski they were able to beat Hoffenheim by 6:0 on the last Bundesliga match day.

Under the current circumstances I could only see one outcome in that Cup quarter final which is a rather easy Munich win. 


Alwin Amler 



Football Tips for 01 Mar 2020

15.00 CET

Everton: Manchester United 

OVER 2.25 

odds 1.776 at Pinnacle

alternative bet BOTH TO SCORE odds 1.75 at Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

In case of 2 goals being scored the bet is a HALF loss


Analysis

Everton on a nice run since Ancelotti has arrived. 17 points have been won in the 9 matches with him on the coaching bench. No team but Liverpool and ManCity have been better in this period.

The Toffees have scored in each of those games. Their stats against the top 6 are great as they have only lost 1 out of the last 8 home games.

Also ManU on an upward trend with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 in all competitions. Main reason for that has been the arrival of Portuguese midfielder Bruno Fernandes.

With him the team has created lot more goal chances. Last season Everton won by 4:0 against ManU. The first game this season at Old Trafford ended 1:1. I see both teams scoring today. 


Alwin Amler 

Football Tips for 29 Feb 2020

13.30 CET

ENERGIE COTTBUS AH -1.5 : Optik Rathenow

odds 1.75 either at Pinnacle or Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll

Grading 

The bet will be a full win with Cottbus beating Rathenow by at least 2 goal margin 

Analysis 

Cottbus the top favorite for promotion in this league with disappointing results so far this calendar year (0-2-1).

Anyway, this home game against relegation candidate Rathenow looks like the ideal one to come back on the winning track again as Optik has not only lost all of the 3 games in 2020 so far but also has to cope with some missings in that match above all their best attacker Caner Özcin.

As a former Bundesliga 1 team Cottbus still with a rather big number of loyal fans. I cannot see the away team coming away with points in that game. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 28 Feb 2020

20.30 CET

FORTUNA DUESSELDORF AH 0 : Hertha BSC Berlin 

odds 1.72 at Pinnacle or 1.67 at Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll 


Grading

Cash Back in case of a draw

Analysis 

Duesseldorf on the up with new coach Uwe Roesler only losing 1 out of the 4  matches under his guidance. Anyway, they are still trailing the safe zone by 2 points. Roeslers style is more agressive and risky.

Good thing for them that they could practically play with their best squad in this home match against the chaos club from Germanies capitol city as former coach Juergen Klinsmann has left so many unrest and mess there.

One could write so much about all that but as this here is all about betting I will make it short. I am on the home team as I expect another shitty performance by the team from Berlin like in the devastating 0:5 home loss against Koeln 1 week ago in which all players have lacked everything.

No motivation a catastrophic defensive behaviour and no offensive concept at all which should be a shame for Klinsmanns co-coach Alexander Nouri who took over after Klinsmanns demission.

Obviously no smart decision as this club urgently needs a rèal new refreshing coaching staff also to clear up the players minds. Herthas important defensive midfielder Ascasibar as well as defender Niklas Stark will be suspended for this match. Berlin also with bad stats against Duesseldorf winning  only 6 games from the 25 matches against each other so far.

At home Duesseldorf has only lost 1 time in 12 matches. I am on Duesseldorf in this game that at least should not lose.

Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 24 Feb 2020

20.30 CET

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT AH -0.5 : Union Berlin 

odds 1.93 at Pinnacle or 1.93 at Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll


Analysis 

Frankfurt on a nice run winning all of the 4 home games in 2020 by 2 or more goals margin. Their opponent from Berlin is a weak away team  (2-2-7).

Interesting to see that Union obviously does not like to play away on Monday nights at all as they have only won 1 away game on the first day of the week drawing 7 and losing 10.

H2H clearly in favour of Frankfurt  (5-3-0) that has also won the first season game between them last autumn at Berlin by 2:1. Handicap for Union should be the missing of captain Christopher Tremmel who is suspended. A home win looks rather probable.


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 23 Feb 2020

18.00 CET

VFL Wolfsburg:  MAINZ 05 AH +0.75

odds 1.79 at Pinnacle or 1.75 at Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

In case of a 1 goal margin Wolfsburg win this bet would be a HALF loss 


Analysis

With new winter signing Bruma Mainz' defense looks rather compact these days only conceding 1 goal in the last 240 minutes. Mainz has collected more points away from home winning 3 of the last 6.

Under new coach Beierlorzer they have scored 15 goals in the last 5 away games. Wolfsburg maybe a bit tired from the Europa league game against Malmö on late Thursday night. Handicap for them should be the missing of Maxi Arnold who is suspended for this match.

Interesting fact that 6 of the last 8 between them at Wolfsburg ended in a draw. Looks like a very tight game. Thus this handicap cushion looks fine to me. 


Alwin Amler 



Football Tips for 22 Feb 2020

15.30 CET

MOENCHENGLADBACH TOTAL GOALS OVER 1.5 : 1899 Hoffenheim 

odds 1.469 at Pinnacle or 1.44 at Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll


Analysis

The home team in top form winning 4:1 in the river Rhein derby at Duesseldorf on the last match day. Seems that the players have fully adopted to coach Marko Roses style of play scoring goals in nice fashion.

They have won all of the last 8 home games in a row. In 8 of the 10 home matches they have scored 2 or more goals. In my opinion this trend should go on against Hoffenheim a team that has lost all of the last 3. 


Alwin Amler


Football Tips for 21 Feb 2020

19.00 CET

BFC DYNAMO AH +0.25 : Altglienecke

odds 1.74 at Pinnacle 

alternative bet AH 0 odds 2.1 at Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll


Grading 

In case of a draw the +0.25 bet would be a HALF win. Thus a 1£ bettor would receive 1.37 £ in return


Analysis 

Table leader Altglienecke with a bad start after the winter break losing both games at Meuselwitz and at home against Berliner AK. For this match they will have to cope with important missings above all first GK Twardzik.

BFC currently trailing them by 7 points. They are a strong home team losing only 1 time so far this season. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 20 Feb 2020

19.00 CET

SHAKTOR DONEZK AH 0 : Benfica Lisboa 

odds 1.70 at Pinnacle or 1.67 at Bet 365

Stake 1% of your running bank roll


Analysis 

While Ukranian football still is in winter break the Portuguese season is in full gear.

Benficas main priority is to become champion in the home  league in a tight race against CF Porto. Their schedule is full- packed while Donezk  the clear leader in their home league will be well rested.

The Portuguese team not in great form these days with no win in the last 3. Home win with a draw no bet option will be my bet. 


Alwin Amler


Football Tips for 19 Feb 2020

21.00 CET

ATALANTA BERGAMO AH -0.5 : CF Valencia

odds 1.68 at Pinnacle or 1.65 at Bet365

Stake 1 % of your running bank roll


ATALANTA BERGAMO TOTAL GOALS OVER 1.5 

odds 1.665 at Pinnacle 

alternative bet OVER 2.5 odds 1.66 at BET365

Stake 1 % of your running bank roll


Analysis

Atalanta the first team that has ever managed to enter the play-offs in its first CL participation. They are also the first team ever that has survived the group stage after losing its first 3 matches. Coach Gian Piero Gasperinis men are famous for their crazy offensive- minded football.

No Serie A team has scored more goals than Atalanta so far this season (63). 4.33 goals on average have been scored in all of Atalantas league home games.

In 9 of 12 this team has scored 2 or more. Their opponent from Spain has the worst defense of all Top 10 teams in La Liga. 2.08 goals on average have been conceded by them so far in  this seasons away games.

3.36 goals on average  have been scored overall in Valencias La Liga away games. Valencia with a long list of missing players as First GK Cillessen as well as Vallejo, Garay, Florenzi,Piccini, Coquelin, Paulista and Rodrigo will all not be available tonight which especially should be a problem for the defense.

The Spanish team has never won a CL away game  (0-4-5). Also their European Cup stats when playing away from home  against Italian teams are not good at all as they have only 1 win out of 8 games ,thereby not scoring a goal in 6 of those matches.

In general this season they are a weak away team as they have only won 11 of their 38 points in La Liga outside Valencia while Atalanta is a strong home team in general with 11-7-2 in their European Cup games history.

Their current form is good with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 Serie A matches. A home win by the Italian team looks rather probable. In addition to that this encounter looks to be the best over bet of this whole CL play- off round. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 17 Feb 2020

21.00 CET

Chelsea: MANCHESTER UNITED AH +0.5

odds 1.87 at either Pinnacle or Bet365

Stake 2 % of your running bank roll


Grading 

AH +0.5 equals double chance 


Analysis 

Now that  ManCity will be denied taking part in the next 2 European Cup seasons reaching the 5th spot in the Premier League table at the end of this season should be enough for qualification.

This should also be a big incentive for ManU that currently is only on the 9th position trailing this 5th spot by 4 points. Big game tonight at Stamford Bridge against Frank Lampard and his team from Chelsea that is not a real home force  (5-3-4) so far this season.

They are not in strong form only winning 2 of the last 6. Recent H2H clearly in favour of ManU that has not lost any of the last 4 against the Blues. First game this season ended in a 4:0 ManU win.

Think tonight ManU has fair chances to uphold its almost unbelievable record of having been undefeated in February league games since 2008. 


Alwin Amler 



Football Tips for 16 Feb 2020

12.00 CET

CF Seville : ESPANOL BARCELONA AH +1

odds 1.92 at Pinnacle or 1.93 at Bet365

Stake 2 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

Cash Back in case of a Seville win by exactly 1 goal margin 


Analysis 

Seville not in good form the last few weeks winning none of the last 3 home games. Overall this season they are not a real home force  (5-4-2) scoring only 14 goals in those 11 matches in the Sanchez Pizjuan. Espanol clearly on the way up under new coach, former CF Barcelona defender Abelardo, who took over at the end of last December.

Thanks to a Chinese investment group they could sign a handful of new players this winter above all striker Raul de Tomas who arrived from Benfica Lisboa for the sum of 20 Mio Euro. He has already scored 4 goals in his first 4 matches at Barcelona.

I could see a tight game with no easy win by the Andalucian team. Thus I willl lean on bookies handicap cushion on Espanol that urgently needs each and every point in the fight against relegation. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 15 Feb 2020

15.30 CET

PADERBORN AH +0.25 : Hertha BSC Berlin 

odds 1.74 at Pinnacle or 1.67 at Bet365

Stake 2 % of your running bank roll


Grading 

In case of a draw this bet will be a HALF which would mean a 1.37 £ return for the 1£ bettor 


Analysis 

I could write so much about all the chaos that happens in and around the club from the capitol of Germany these days but there is no time for doing so as this here is all about finding as many profitable betting tips as possible  for the week-end. Thus lets make it short.

After German football icon Juergen Klinsmann has quit his job as Hertha coach a few days ago the situation is nothing else but a big big mess. Klinsmanns co Alexander Nouri has taken over for him but to me this is not a wise solution as one cannot expect significant changes in the style of play with Nouri already being the main reason for this ultra- destructive kind of football. No offensive concept at all.

The players now should be even more irritated and I feel that it should become very hard for them to go for this game against newcomer Paderborn the team at the very end of the Bundesliga table that finally is in good form winning 7 points in the last 3 games.

Statistically it should also be interesting to see that no away team has ever won a match when the 2 clubs met on the pitch. In this game Paderborn has the possibility to leave the last spot in the Bundesliga table. I think they should at least not lose. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 14 Feb 2020

Germany Bundesliga 1

20.30 CET 

Borussia Dortmund:  EINTRACHT FRANKFURT TOTAL GOALS OVER 1 

odds 1.99 at Pinnacle 

alternative bet BOTH TO SCORE odds 1.53 at Bet 365

Stake 1% of your running bank roll 


Football Tips for 13 Feb 2020

Spain 

Copa del Rey

21.00 CET

REAL SOCIEDAD AH -1.25 : Mirandes 

odds 1.63 at Pinnacle or 1.57 at Bet365

Stake 1% of your running bank roll


REAL SOCIEDAD TOTAL GOALS OVER 2

odds 1.628 at Pinnacle 

alternative bet OVER 2.5 odds 1.57 at Bet365

Stake 1% of your running bank roll


Grading

In case of a 1 goal margin Sociedad win the AH bet is a HALF loss 

Cash Back in the total goals bet in case of Sociedad scoring exactly 2 goals 


Analysis 

Sociedad must come into this 1st leg Copa semi-final with lots of self-confidence after eliminating Real Madrid at Bernabeu in the QF. In addition to this they also won the Basc derby against Bilbao in La Liga on the last match day.

Only mighty CF Barcelona has scored more goals than Sociedad at home in La Liga so far this season. In 7 of the 11 home games they have scored 2 or more. Mirandes an average  team from Segunda Division.

They surprisingly have already eliminated 3 La Liga teams in this running Cup season but that always was at home without a 2nd leg match. As a matter of fact no Segunda team has conceded more goals in

away league games but Mirandes. In 9 of the 13 league away games they have conceded 2 or more. I could see Sociedad winning this match in rather nice fashion scoring at least 2 goals. 



Football Tips for 12 Feb 2020

18.30 CET

Coupe de France 

DIJON AH +1.75  : PSG

odds 1.67 at either Pinnacle or Bet365

Stake

1 % of your running bank roll

and DIJON TOTAL GOALS OVER 0.5 

odds 1.625 at Pinnacle 

alternative bet BOTH TO SCORE odds 1.66 at BET365

Stake 1% of your running bank roll

Grading 

In case of a 2- goal margin PSG win this bet will be a HALF loss only. 

Analysis

PSG comes into this game with lots of squad problems especially in defense as Marquinhos, Abdou Diallo, Thiago Silva and Juan Bernat are all out injured. In addition to this super star Neymar is also not ready for this QF Cup game.

Positioned on the 17th spot in  the Ligue 1  table Dijons main task will be to avoid relegation but I do not see them chanceless today  even against the mighty French Champion as coach Stephane Jobards team is a strong home team not losing any of the last 11.

Interesting to see that they had beaten Paris by 2:1 in the Ligue 1 match in their Stade Gaston Gerard on the 1st of November 2019. Mainly due to PSGs problems with the long list of defensive missings I could Dijon at least be on the scoreboard in this match. 


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 10 Feb 2020

Pick on the Monday night game in German Bundesliga 2


20.15 CET

Holstein Kiel:  ST Pauli 

BOTH TO SCORE 

odds 1.66 at Bet365

Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll


Analysis

Kiel on the up the last few weeks. They play fresh offensive-minded football under coach Ole Werner who is a players coach . Interesting to see that in all of Kiels home matches both teams have scored. Pauli conceded in all of its away games with both teams scoring in at least 6 of 9. Again I could see both teams being on the scoreboard tonight.


Alwin Amler 


Football Tips for 09 Feb 2020

18.00 CET

BAYERN MUNICH AH -1 and- 1.25 : RB Leipzig 

odds 1.606 and 1.813 at Pinnacle or 1.550 and 1.750 at Bet365

Stake 1 % of your running bank roll each 


Grading 

In case of a Munich win by 1 goal margin we receive a cash back for the AH -1 bet and the AH -1.25 bet would be a HALF loss.


Analysis 

Germanies record champ from Munich on a roll under beloved coach Hansi Flick as this coach has found a way to get this team back on the winning track again after the unsuccessful days under former coach Niko Kovac .

Flick has won all of the last 8 matches. He not only managed to stabilise the Bayern defense but with the  58 goals being scored by Munich in the 20 Bundesliga games  so far this also means an all-time record for this team. H2H clearly in favour of Munich  (4-2-1). Bayern has won all of the last 3 home matches without conceding a single goal.

A fantastic start into the season Leipzig on the way down these days having not won any of the last 3 matches. One of RB's recent problems is that striker Timo Werner is not in top form and in Kampl , Konate and Orban Leipzig also has important missing players. My bet will be on Munich to continue this great run.

Alwin 


Football Tips for 08 Feb 2020

18.30 CET

Bayer Leverkusen : BORUSSIA DORTMUND

AH 0 

odds 1.65 at Pinnacle or 1.60 at Bet365

Stakes 2% of your running bank roll



BORUSSIA DORTMUND TOTAL GOALS OVER 1.5 

Odds at Pinnacle 1.641

alternative bet for the European market  OVER 3 at odds around 1.65 

Stakes 2 % of your running bank roll 


Grading 

Cash Back in the AH 0 bet in case of a draw


Also cash back in case of exactly 3 goals being scored in this game in the over 3 bet  


Analysis 

Dortmunds fantastic start into this calendar year with 3 wins and 15 scored goals had come to a very abrupt end in the 3:2 cup loss at Bremen last Tuesday. It seemed that the team was not fully concentrated or even motivated for that game.

Anyway,  I expect a positive reaction today in this league encounter at the Bayer arena, in a stadium in which Dortmund obviously loves to play. As a matter of fact the BVB has only lost 1 time in the last 12 matches at Leverkusen  (5 wins and 6 draws) .

In general it is the rather offensive- minded  Bayer style of play with lots of ball possession that suits Dortmund. Thus I could see good chances for their offensive department with new signing Erling Haaland who has rocked the league from the very start scoring 7 goals in his first 3 games and also Jadon Sancho to get on the scoreboard again in that match.

Leverkusen not in form these days losing 1:2 against Hoffenheim 1 week ago. Also in mid-weeks 2:1 cup win against B2 team from Stuttgart they could not convince at all. Bayer in general with no good stats at home this season winning only 4 of the 10 matches.

The first game between those 2 teams at Dortmund ended with a clear 4:0 Dortmund win. Dortmund has scored 2 goals on average in all of its away games so far this season. They should at least not lose and probably score 2 goals  again. 



Football Tips for 06 Feb 2020

Copa Del Rey

21.00 CET

ATLETIC BILBAO AH +0.75 : CF Barcelona

odds 1.71 at Pinnacle or 1.67 at Bet365

1.5 % of your running bank roll


Grading 

In case of a 1 goal margin Barcelona win the bet is only a HALF loss 


Analysis 

Always tough to play at San Mames as the Baskian fan crowd there is one of the most emotional in Spain. Even a top team like Barca often got problems at Bilbao.

As a matter of fact they have lost 2 of the last 4. Also in this seasons La Liga game at the very start of the season Bilbao won 1:0 by a late Aritz Aduriz goal. Good thing for the home team will be that it is Aduriz who will come back for this cup match after his hip injury.

Anyway,  the defence  is the strongest part of Bilbao's team . Only 6 goals have been conceded by them in the 11 home games.

Overall Bilbao has only lost 2 at home so far this season while on the other hand Barcelonas away stats  look not that great until now (4-3-4). I cannot see an easy Barcelona win if it will be a win at all. 



Football Tips for 05 Feb 2020

England FA CUP 

20.45 CET

Tottenham Hotspurs:  SOUTHAMPTON AH +0.75

odds 1.97 at Bet365 or 1.95 at Pinnacle 

1% of your running bank roll


Grading 

In case of a 1 goal margin win for the Spurs this bet would only be HALF lost. 


Analysis 

Rematch in the 4th FA Cup round after the draw in game 1. Southampton a very strong away team managing to win 2/3  of its points in the  EPL  away from home. Before the 4:0 loss at Anfield in their last game they could enjoy a 4-away game winning streak. Handicap for the Spurs should be the missings of Dele Alli, Sissoko and of course above all long term missing Harry Kane. Should be a close game. Thus I am on the Asian handicap cushion for Southampton. 


Alwin 


Football Tips for 04 Feb 2020

20.45 CET

FC Liverpool : SHREWSBURY AH +0.5 

odds 1.99 at Bet365 or 1.96 at Pinnacle 

Stakes:  1 % of your running bank roll


Additional bet

SHREWSBURY AH 0 

odds 2.75 at either Pinnacle or Bet365

Stakes 0.5 % of your running bank roll


Grading 

AH +0.5 means the same like double chance Shrewsbury

cash back in case of a draw for the AH 0


Analysis 

After the 2:2 At Shrewsbury both teams have to meet again at Anfield. Anyway, the Reds will play with their U23 team like they did in the League Cup in December when they lost by 0:5 against Aston Villa. Also U23 coach Neil Critchley will be on the sideline tonight instead of Juergen Klopp as this is Critchleys team.

Of course quality - wise one cannot compare Shrewsbury with  Aston Villa but I expect the guests from League One to  fight again to the bones like they did in game 1 when they came back from 0:2 deficit equalizing in the end. Nice value in a bet on the outsider.

Alwin 


Football Tips for 02 Feb 2020

Again a good day yesterday as all picks that had been published on Saturday including  the combo bet had  been won. The only big disappointment has been the Braunschweig tip published on Friday night but of course such things can happen sometimes. 

Overall a real tough Sunday. I will wait for more Info, odds developments or even the final line ups in the German Bundesliga games and only then I will decide whether to bet at all on those matches. No need to force the luck of course.

Anyway, what I could present right now is an early pick on the English Championship for next Saturday. It is on my recently favorite team Huddersfield that could built on some enforcements after a few winter signings. They are not a team that should get relegated at the end of the season and I expect them to climb up the table step by step. 

Football prediction for a wide range of markets can produce impressive results.

Often included in analysis are markets such as Outright Win, Ht/Ft, Corners, Bookings, Handicaps, Asian Handicaps.

To Win to Nil, Both teams to Score, Over/Under 2.5 goals and so on.

Football Girl Player
Girl Football Player

Football Prediction examples

Double bet over @ 3.30 4 points WIN +9.2

Holland Eredivisie Willem II vs Venlo: back over 2.5 goals @ 1.73 WIN 1-4

Austra Erste Liga FC Lustenau vs Austria Lustenau: back over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 WIN 0-3 4 fold win @ 3.39 2 points WIN +4.78

England Premier Manchester United vs Wolverhampton: back the home win @ 1.26 WIN 2-1

Holland Eredivisie Groningen vs NAC Breda: back the home win @ 1.57 WIN 2-1

Scotland Premier Celtic vs Aberdeen: back the home win @ 1.27 WIN 9-0

Turkey Superlig Fenerbahce vs Eskisehirspor: back the home win @ 1.35 WIN 4-2

Football Stadium

Very often a great deal of enthusiasm for football predictions occurs during World Cup tournaments. A huge amount of money is wagered and it pays to have a good tipster on your side.

Here are some tips from the 2010 World Cup South Africa v 

-Uraquay on handicap bet @ 100/30 -WIN

England v USA -England win -LOST

Holland v Denmark -Holland win at 4/6 -WIN

Italy v Paraquay -Italy win -LOST

Brazil v N.Korea -Scorecast @ 7/1 -WIN

Spain v Switzerland -Scorecast -LOST

France v Mexico -Mexico win @ 6/4 -WIN

Holland v Japan -Scorecast @11/2 -WIN

Italy v New Zealand -Scorecast -LOST

Spain v Honduras -Spain on handicap @ 11/8 -WIN

Cameroon v Holland -Scorecast @ 8/1 -WIN

Brazil v Ivory Coast -Brazil to win on handicap @ 7/2 -WIN

England v Slovenia -England to win 1-0 and Defoe 1st scorer 18/1 -WIN

Argentina v S Korea -Argentina on handicap @ 9/4 -WIN.

Korea v Ivory Coast -Scorecast @ 6/1 -WIN

Spain v Chile -Scorecast @ 7/1 -WIN

Mexico v Uraquay -Uraquay win @ 11/8 -WIN

Cameroon v Denmark -Denmark to win @ 6/4 -WIN

Greece v Argentina -Argentina on handicap @13/8 -WIN

Last 16 Stage BetsUraquay v S Korea -Uraquay win @ 8/11 -WIN

Holland v Slovakia -Scorecast @ 8/1 -WIN

Brazil v Chile -Brazil to win on handicap @ 15/8 -WIN

Spain v Portugal -Scorecast @ 11/2 -WIN

Quarter Finals Stage BetsSpain v Paraquay -Draw half time -Spain to win full time @ 7/2 -WIN

Ghana v Uraquay -Ghana to win on handicap @13/8 -WIN

Semi Finals Stage BetsHolland v Uraquay -Holland to qualify for final @ 4/11 -WIN

Spain v Germany -Draw half time -Spain to win full time @ 3/1 -WIN

Holland v Spain -Win Double Holland andSpain @ 7/2 -WIN

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