Football Prediction
After a short break I am back with a small combo bet on tonight's Europa League games
COMBO at Bet365
INTER MILAN AH0 odds 1.23
SHAKTAR DONEZK: VFL WOLFSBURG BOTH TO SCORE odds 1.57
Overall odds 1.931
Stake 1% of your running bank roll
Have a nice day
Alwin
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Football Tips for 12 Mar 2020
Europa League picks
18.55 CET
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT AH -0.5 : FC Basel
odds 1.64 at Pinnacle or 1.60 at Bet365
Stake 1 % of your running bank roll
Additional bet for the Asian market
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT TOTAL GOALS OVER 1.5
odds 1.68 at Pinnacle
Stake 1 % of your running bank roll
Analysis
As usual Frankfurt is expected to play with more than 100 % motivation like in all of their Europe League matches especially as in the Bundesliga they can play relaxed currently being positioned in the rather safe middle zone of the table with no more realistic chances to reach an European spot by the end of this season. Frankfurt a real strong home team in general.
They have not lost any Europe League home game against a Swiss team up to now (3-1-0). Also Basels overall European Cup stats are bad when it comes to their matches in Germany (1-2-5). Problem for the guests should be the missing game practice as the league in Switzerland has been stopped due to the corona virus crisis.
Thus the last Basel game was on the 27th of February. Their form before this break was bad with only 1 win out of 6 games. To make this upcoming game even more difficult for them they also have to cope with the problem of some important missing players.
Looks very much like a home win to me although the game cannot be attended by the fans because of the corona virus problem .
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 11 Mar 2020
21.00 CET
FC LIVERPOOL AH -0.5 : Athletico Madrid
odds 1.55 at Pinnacle or 1.50 at Bet365
Stake 1 % of your running bank roll
Additional pick
OVER 2.25 odds 1.78 at Pinnacle or 1.725 at Bet365
Stake 1% of your running bank roll
Grading
AH -0.5 means Liverpool win no matter the result
Over 2.25: in case of exactly 2 goals being scored overall the bet would be HALF lost
Analysis
No easy task at all even for a team like the running Champions League defender Liverpool to overturn the 0:1 deficit from the 1st leg game at the Wanda Metropolitano as Athletico is expected to park the bus fighting like hell again like they usually do under coach Diego Simeone.
Anyway, at least Juergen Klopps stats as coach when it comes to European Cup home matches are fantastic (11-4-0). His teams have never been kicked-out in any play-off round.
I have finally decided to support them in this bet although their current form is not good with 3 losses in the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Also they have to cope with the handicap of missing first goal keeper Alisson due to his hip injury. He will be replaced by Adrian who simply is not of his class. Good news for Klopps men that captain and midfielder Jordan Henderson will be back in the starting eleven.
Athletico currently only on the 5th spot of the La Liga table. They come from a 2:2 draw at home against CF Seville. Due to the fact that the Reds' defense has not made the best impression the last few weeks and that Alisson cannot play I will also go for the over in that game.
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 10 Mar 2020
21.00 CET
CF VALENCIA : ATALANTA BERGAMO
OVER 3
odds 1.69 at Pinnacle or 1.675 at Bet365
Stake 2 % of your running bank roll
Grading
Cash Back in case of exactly 3 goals being scored in this game
Analysis
It almost looks like a mission impossible for Valencia to survive this round after the harsh 4:1 loss in game 1 at Italy. What makes the task even harder for the home team is that no fans will be allowed to attend this game live in the stadium because of the circling Corona virus.
Like usual Atalanta under coach Gian Piero Gasperini is expected to attack like crazy in this match especially as an away goal by them would mean that Valencia must score 5 to survive which indeed should not be realistic concerning the current sub-standard form they have.
As a matter of fact Valencia is the only top La Liga team with a negative goal balance and their defense in general is rather unsafe already having conceded 39 goals in the league so far this season.
In Mangala, Garay and Piccini they have important defensive missings for this match. I could see an open game with goals on both ends.
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 08 Mar 2020
13.00 CET
TSV BUCHBACH AH +0.25 : Eichstätt
odds 1.79 at Pinnacle or 1.775 at Bet365
Stake 2% of your running bank roll
Grading
In case of a draw the bet will be a HALF win which would mean 1.39£ in return for the 1 £ bettor.
Analysis
Always "special" to play at Buchbach as the fans there are very loyal and like a real family. Today the first home game after the long winter break will be celebrated with a kind of tailgate party starting 2 hours before kick-off.
During the break the team got enforced with some new signings above all legendary Bavarian striker Karl Heinz Lappe. Buchbach with only 1 loss out of the last 8 home games.
I dont think they will lose this first 2020 home match .
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 07 Mar 2020
14.00 CET
Schalke 04 U 23 : BERGISCH GLADBACH AH +1
odds 1.72 at Bet365 or 1.71 at Pinnacle
Stake 2 % of your running bank roll
Grading
Cash Back in case of a Schalke win by exactly 1 goal margin.
Analysis
Schalke with an ultra-long list of missings for this game and definitely with no support by the A-team.
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 06 Mar 2020
20.00 CET
Paderborn: 1. FC Köln
OVER 3
odds 1.84 at bet365 or 1.83 at Pinnacle
Stake 2 % of your running bank roll
Grading
Cash Back in case of exactly 3 goals being scored in this game
Analysis
This game practically a do-or-die for the home team as they are trailing the safe zone by 9 points. Their opponent from Cologne meanwhile out of the relegation zone up into the safe middle part of the table after a great run of 6 wins in the last 8 matches.
Anyway no single Paderborn fan is angry about the bad situation in the table and Paderborn coach Steffen Baumgart not in danger of getting sacked at all as everyone simply enjoys the courageous very offensive-minded style of play this team goes for on the pitch.
No wonder that 3.75 goals on average have been scored in all of Paderborns home games so far this season.
In 83% of those games both teams scored. 3.82 goals on average have been scored in all of Koelns away games so far this season. Last season the games between those 2 contenders ended with 3:2 and 5:3 wins for Paderborn .
Cologne won the first game this season at home by 3:0. Good for the home team that important midfielder Sabiri will be back from injury. On Colognes side first goal keeper Timo Horn will be missing as he is suffering from the flu.
Koelns top striker J. Cordoba is suspended and will be replaced by in-form Mark Uth. Paderborn urgently needs 3 points and Cologne, a team on the run, can play rather relaxed . I expect an open game with goals probably on both ends.
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 04 Mar 2020
20.45 CET
Eintracht Frankfurt: Werder Bremen
OVER 2.75
odds 1.85 either at Pinnacle or Bet365
Stake 1 % of your running bank roll
additional bet for the Asian bettors
WERDER BREMEN TOTAL GOALS OVER 1
odds 2.090 at Pinnacle
Stake 1% of your running bank roll
Grading
cash back in case of Bremen scoring exactly 1 goal in the TOTAL goals bet
In case of exactly 3 goals being scored the over bet is a HALF win which means a 1£ bettor would get 1.425£ in return
Analysis
Frankfurts focus for the rest of the season should be on the Cup competition respectively the Europa League as in the Bundesliga they are positioned in the safe but boring middle part of the table. For Bremen the fight against relegation in the Bundesliga surely has priority but they take the Cup very seriously and proved it by eliminating Dortmund in the last round.
Bremens coach Florian Kohveldt has already announced that his team will "GO FOR IT" as they have nothing to lose in this quarter final. 3.58 goals have been scored on average in the 12 Frankfurt league home games so far this season. 3.66 goals have been scored on average in the 12 Bremen away games.
In all of the last 7 between those 2 teams 3 or more goals have been scored. The first Bundesliga game this season at Frankfurt ended in a 2:2 draw. This should become a match with goals on both ends.
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 03 Mar 2020
20.45 CET
Schalke 04 : BAYERN MUNICH AH -1.5
odds 1.72 at Pinnacle or 1.70 at Bet365
Stake 2 % of your running bank roll
Grading
The bet will be won with a 2 goal margin Munich win
Analysis
Schalke in terrible form winning only 3 points out of the last 6 matches with a goal margin of 1:14. Main problem for that should be the current dramatic injury crisis with almost all of their best players being sidelined.
No Kabak, Serdar,Mascarell,Stambouli, Sane and Caligiuri. Also goal keeper Nübel with catastrophic performances in the last 2 games. In addition to that offensive midfielder Amine Harit and attacker Benito Raman are totally out of form. In the league Schalke got trashed by the German record champ in the 5:0 defeat at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
Although Bayerns current schedule is rather hectic and in Lewandowski, Conan and Hernandez they also have some very serious missings but even without the help of their scoring machine Lewandowski they were able to beat Hoffenheim by 6:0 on the last Bundesliga match day.
Under the current circumstances I could only see one outcome in that Cup quarter final which is a rather easy Munich win.
Alwin Amler
Football Tips for 01 Mar 2020
15.00 CET
Everton: Manchester United
OVER 2.25
odds 1.776 at Pinnacle
alternative bet BOTH TO SCORE odds 1.75 at Bet365
Stake 1.5 % of your running bank roll
Grading
In case of 2 goals being scored the bet is a HALF loss
Analysis
Everton on a nice run since Ancelotti has arrived. 17 points have been won in the 9 matches with him on the coaching bench. No team but Liverpool and ManCity have been better in this period.
The Toffees have scored in each of those games. Their stats against the top 6 are great as they have only lost 1 out of the last 8 home games.
Also ManU on an upward trend with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 in all competitions. Main reason for that has been the arrival of Portuguese midfielder Bruno Fernandes.
With him the team has created lot more goal chances. Last season Everton won by 4:0 against ManU. The first game this season at Old Trafford ended 1:1. I see both teams scoring today.
Alwin Amler
Football prediction for a wide range of markets can produce impressive results.
Often included in analysis are markets such as Outright Win, Ht/Ft, Corners, Bookings, Handicaps, Asian Handicaps.
To Win to Nil, Both teams to Score, Over/Under 2.5 goals and so on.
Football Prediction examples
Double bet over @ 3.30 4 points WIN +9.2
Holland Eredivisie Willem II vs Venlo: back over 2.5 goals @ 1.73 WIN 1-4
Austra Erste Liga FC Lustenau vs Austria Lustenau: back over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 WIN 0-3 4 fold win @ 3.39 2 points WIN +4.78
England Premier Manchester United vs Wolverhampton: back the home win @ 1.26 WIN 2-1
Holland Eredivisie Groningen vs NAC Breda: back the home win @ 1.57 WIN 2-1
Scotland Premier Celtic vs Aberdeen: back the home win @ 1.27 WIN 9-0
Turkey Superlig Fenerbahce vs Eskisehirspor: back the home win @ 1.35 WIN 4-2
Very often a great deal of enthusiasm for football predictions occurs during World Cup tournaments. A huge amount of money is wagered and it pays to have a good tipster on your side.
Here are some tips from the 2010 World Cup South Africa v
-Uraquay on handicap bet @ 100/30 -WIN
England v USA -England win -LOST
Holland v Denmark -Holland win at 4/6 -WIN
Italy v Paraquay -Italy win -LOST
Brazil v N.Korea -Scorecast @ 7/1 -WIN
Spain v Switzerland -Scorecast -LOST
France v Mexico -Mexico win @ 6/4 -WIN
Holland v Japan -Scorecast @11/2 -WIN
Italy v New Zealand -Scorecast -LOST
Spain v Honduras -Spain on handicap @ 11/8 -WIN
Cameroon v Holland -Scorecast @ 8/1 -WIN
Brazil v Ivory Coast -Brazil to win on handicap @ 7/2 -WIN
England v Slovenia -England to win 1-0 and Defoe 1st scorer 18/1 -WIN
Argentina v S Korea -Argentina on handicap @ 9/4 -WIN.
Korea v Ivory Coast -Scorecast @ 6/1 -WIN
Spain v Chile -Scorecast @ 7/1 -WIN
Mexico v Uraquay -Uraquay win @ 11/8 -WIN
Cameroon v Denmark -Denmark to win @ 6/4 -WIN
Greece v Argentina -Argentina on handicap @13/8 -WIN
Last 16 Stage BetsUraquay v S Korea -Uraquay win @ 8/11 -WIN
Holland v Slovakia -Scorecast @ 8/1 -WIN
Brazil v Chile -Brazil to win on handicap @ 15/8 -WIN
Spain v Portugal -Scorecast @ 11/2 -WIN
Quarter Finals Stage BetsSpain v Paraquay -Draw half time -Spain to win full time @ 7/2 -WIN
Ghana v Uraquay -Ghana to win on handicap @13/8 -WIN
Semi Finals Stage BetsHolland v Uraquay -Holland to qualify for final @ 4/11 -WIN
Spain v Germany -Draw half time -Spain to win full time @ 3/1 -WIN
Holland v Spain -Win Double Holland andSpain @ 7/2 -WIN
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